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Ditto. Even if the probability is 1/100, assuming they have at least $1bn net worth, that's a $10m expected payoff.
by nomilk 2y ago
Ditto. Even if the probability is 1/100, assuming they have at least $1bn net worth, that's a $10m expected payoff.
- Dylan16807 2y agoExpected value doesn't really work for rare events. A 1% chance of $50M and a 1% chance of $2B are barely different to a person.
- im3w1l 2y agoFor a person it doesn't matter. But the context here is gangs, and for organizations it could make a difference. $2B can be split many-ways and still have significant money for everyone.