Gwern predicting this in March: > Sam Altman has won. [...] Ilya Sutskever and Mira Murati will leave OA or otherwise take on some sort of clearly diminished r

Gwern predicting this in March: > Sam Altman has won. [...] Ilya Sutskever and Mira Murati will leave OA or otherwise take on some sort of clearly diminished role by year-end (90%, 75%; cf. Murati's desperate-sounding internal note) https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KXHMCH7wCxrvKsJyn/openai-facts-from-a-weekend#eFuasCwaKJr2YiScY https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KXHMCH7wCxrvKsJyn/openai-fac...