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Clickbait. Yes, there is a shift but it has little to nothing to do with AI. While there are entire companies getting hyped about generative networks and LLM's(
by axegon_ 2y ago
Clickbait. Yes, there is a shift but it has little to nothing to do with AI. While there are entire companies getting hyped about generative networks and LLM's(read "managers thinking they will get a fleet of devs for little to no money"), those are the exception and will go extinct sooner or later - I can name a few off the top of my head.
There was a huge boom around Covid, sure, when infrastructure was clearly not ready to cope with the demand so as many people had to be dragged into the equation. There were also companies aggressively hiring tech people partially because of the demand but also to establish a monopoly. And the rise of one-online-course developer programs was the cherry on top. That was bound to collapse and Musk's campaign over at Twitter gave everyone the confidence that there's no need for anyone but a few managers and prompt "engineers". And we are reaching the "find out" part for all players involved.
If you are a tech worker with skills, then you have absolutely nothing to worry about: AI can only write trivial code which normally would be thrown at an intern - stuff like "write a function that takes in a hashmap containing key-value mappings and a second hashmap to swap out the said keys", which you will likely still need to tweak to make it safe. But for any serious or critical code, if you are relying on a LLM to do the logic for you, you are basically walking around blindfolded, holding a loaded gun pointed at your head. Sadly I know a lot of people who actively do that exact thing.
The other part is that the market is over-saturated with products that no one needs. How many more social medias do you need? None. How many more trading platforms? None. How many more messenger apps? None? Dating apps? None. Yet new, "revolutionary" ones pop out daily. Guess how many of them fail? Their marketing campaign was "blockchain" 5 years ago. Now it's "ai". My coffee machine needs neither of those, who are you trying to sell this to?
When it comes to the tech sector, people should understand that this is not a bottomless pit and it all boils down to a finite amount of people that will use your product(consciously or not). And by implications you need a finite amount of tech workers. The jobs have not dried up, it's partially normalization after the Covid hype and to a lesser degree managers thinking AI will do their tech work - the same people who have become Musk cult members. I used to work for one and guess what - the company he founded in 2017 with very noble intentions and received a really good funding is collapsing cause they are unable to roll out a product. Those are bound to fail either way.
As for courses - there are talented people who have only done a bunch of those, but they are the extreme exception and realistically most of the people who enrolled in those were simply there because they thought that's a cheap ticket to a 6-figure salary.
- jmclnx 2y agoThis I agree with, but one thing I think should be added. If you are over 50 years old (maybe 40), your job is probably in danger. Read up on Age Discrimination if in the US. IBM is in the process if having a stealth firing, most people being let go are over 50: https://www.theregister.com/2024/09/18/ibm_job_cuts/ https://www.theregister.com/2024/09/18/ibm_job_cuts/ Personally, I still think AI is heading to a crash like the dot-com crash 20+ years ago.
- axegon_ 2y agoI can't say about the US. That's not so much of an issue here on the other end of the pond, if anything people are increasingly distancing themselves from the 20-30 age group. I've had my experience with them and a large chunk of them are insufferable. A notable example - one had a complete meltdown when he was told that go is not a low level language(and being the one that said it, I was his biggest enemy) :D It pains me to say this, but I agree with you on the subject of AI. I think people are wildly misusing it and creating yet another bubble. It is good at digesting and sifting through data but it's terrible at providing good solutions and people are using it for the latter. I've been actively using it for months at work specifically for sifting through large, completely unstructured documents and pull out the relevant data from them and it has done wonders. So much so that the management has invested in some beefy GPUs for the occasion. And by beefy I do mean BEEFY, coming from someone who owns 2 * 24GB VRAM nvidias for personal usage. I also feel like the day when new models become a rare and unexpected occurrences is not far.
- fragmede 2y agoIf we presume that's true, other than socking away an emergency fund, and diversifying out of the stock market, what else are we to do? Something that large bursting is going to affect the rest of the economy, so there's no place to hide. The Cassandra effect, if you will.