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Timeline, because it is not obvious: 2024-08-17 Saturday morning: Chamberlain hit by car 2024-08-19 Monday early morning: Yacht "Bayesian" sinks
by weinzierl 2y ago
Timeline, because it is not obvious:
2024-08-17 Saturday morning: Chamberlain hit by car
2024-08-19 Monday early morning: Yacht "Bayesian" sinks
2024-08-19 Monday morning: First news reporting of the car accident (doesn't get much attention)
2024-08-19 Monday morning: First reporting of Lynch missing
2024-08-20 Tuesday: First reports of Chamberlain's death
So, the car accident was before the maritime incident. It is not clear to me when Chamberlain died.
- FerretFred 2y agoThe timing is weird .. fate?
- naikrovek 2y agoIf by “fate” you mean “hitmen paid by HP in a very hard to trace way”, then yes!
- DoctorOetker 2y agoif you can find the spontaneous rates of yachts sinking with eventually dead or missing people and spontaneous rates of people getting hit by a car and dying, you can calculate the likelihood for 2 such unordered events appearing within a surprisingly short amount of time. obviously the p-value for the null hypothesis that this is just random coincidence is miniscule in this case. in the long run formal verification and statistics will publically catch up with all these shenanigans.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]