4 ms·

I just love the napkin equation in the middle of [1], it really made it clear to me [1]: https://robertheaton.com/2019/02/24/making-peace-with-simpsons-paradox

• joe_the_user 2y ago
  The wikipedia gives a reasonable take: "Mathematician Jordan Ellenberg argues that Simpson's paradox is misnamed as 'there's no contradiction involved, just two different ways to think about the same data' and suggests that its lesson 'isn't really to tell us which viewpoint to take but to insist that we keep both the parts and the whole in mind at once.'" My own take is that any statistic has a value and a strength (in the case of averages, strength can be the number of instances averaged, for instance). You can have to keep in mind both. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%27s_paradox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%27s_paradox
  • deleted 2y ago
    [deleted]
  • kgwgk 2y ago
    > its lesson 'isn't really to tell us which viewpoint to take When the analysis is intended to inform a decision it’s important to take the appropriate viewpoint. https://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r414.pdf https://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r414.pdf https://www.unige.ch/cisa/files/9616/7501/5107/CISA_BM_statsupport_20230130_simpson.pdf https://www.unige.ch/cisa/files/9616/7501/5107/CISA_BM_stats...