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The real story here is that there is on going investigation by JMA scientists that this might be a precursor to a larger "mega thrust quake", the government has

The real story here is that there is on going investigation by JMA scientists that this might be a precursor to a larger "mega thrust quake", the government has asked people in certain areas to evacuate for the next week or so, and for everyone else, make emergency preparations. https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/backstories/3509/ https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/backstories/3509/ Edit: It's considered cautionary, just so no one freaks right out.

Aeolun 2y ago
That page doesn’t describe anything about evacuations? At least, the ones mentioned are in relation to the tsunami warning. I find the information surrounding this mega quake can generally be summed up as ‘be careful’. Which is kinda silly. If the earthquake happens there’s nothing special you can do that you wouldn’t otherwise.
- bamboozled 2y ago
  Yes, it's in English, it's light on details, if you can read Japanese, here: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/special/saigai/uploads/advanceevacuation.pdf https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/special/saigai/uploads/advanceev... https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240808/k10014542271000.html https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240808/k10014542271000.ht... It's absolutely wrong to say that it's "silly" to have warning?
- iceman1415 2y ago
  https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/08/japan/nankai-earthquake-alert/ https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/08/japan/nankai-ea... The weather agency issued the lower level alert on Thursday, urging people to be prepared for cases requiring evacuation. No evacuations are required for the alert level. A warning means people would need to be on higher alert, and officials would urge those who wouldn’t be able to evacuate quickly to do so before any large quake occurs.
- SapporoChris 2y ago
  It might prompt people to ensure their disaster kit is in good order, know where the shelters are, home preparation, listen to radio for alerts, etc, etc. https://www.bousai.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/book/pdf/en/01_Simulation_of_a_Major_Earthquake.pdf https://www.bousai.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/book/pdf/en/01_Simulati... You are correct that for some people it will be situation normal, but not everyone is always prepared.
- numpad0 2y ago
  There are couple "near-end of this country" hypothetical geological disasters suggested for Japanese mainland, and Nankai Trough Earthquake is one of them. I suppose the risk is technically elevated, but it's not a newly discovered risk or theorization at all - this concept predates modern plate tectonics theory.
  - bamboozled 2y ago
    There have been several of these quakes in the past, why would it “end Japan” ?
    - reustle 2y ago
      Not saying it will “end Japan”, but the government estimates that this quake could kill around 320,000 people (mostly by the tsunami).
      - bamboozled 2y ago
        The statistics are a testament to how good the engineers, planners and builders are in Japan. I think we saw the same thing but from the 1920s onwards the deaths from building collapse during a mega quake are down to like 3% of overall deaths whereas the absolute vast majority of deaths are now drownings from Tsunami. In California I’ve seen almost zero preparedness compared to what I’ve seen in Japan and honestly, the San Andreas fault looks nasty.

Aeolun 2y ago

That page doesn’t describe anything about evacuations? At least, the ones mentioned are in relation to the tsunami warning. I find the information surrounding this mega quake can generally be summed up as ‘be careful’. Which is kinda silly. If the earthquake happens there’s nothing special you can do that you wouldn’t otherwise.

bamboozled 2y ago
Yes, it's in English, it's light on details, if you can read Japanese, here: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/special/saigai/uploads/advanceevacuation.pdf https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/special/saigai/uploads/advanceev... https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240808/k10014542271000.html https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240808/k10014542271000.ht... It's absolutely wrong to say that it's "silly" to have warning?
iceman1415 2y ago
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/08/japan/nankai-earthquake-alert/ https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/08/japan/nankai-ea... The weather agency issued the lower level alert on Thursday, urging people to be prepared for cases requiring evacuation. No evacuations are required for the alert level. A warning means people would need to be on higher alert, and officials would urge those who wouldn’t be able to evacuate quickly to do so before any large quake occurs.
SapporoChris 2y ago
It might prompt people to ensure their disaster kit is in good order, know where the shelters are, home preparation, listen to radio for alerts, etc, etc. https://www.bousai.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/book/pdf/en/01_Simulation_of_a_Major_Earthquake.pdf https://www.bousai.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/book/pdf/en/01_Simulati... You are correct that for some people it will be situation normal, but not everyone is always prepared.
numpad0 2y ago
There are couple "near-end of this country" hypothetical geological disasters suggested for Japanese mainland, and Nankai Trough Earthquake is one of them. I suppose the risk is technically elevated, but it's not a newly discovered risk or theorization at all - this concept predates modern plate tectonics theory.
- bamboozled 2y ago
  There have been several of these quakes in the past, why would it “end Japan” ?
  - reustle 2y ago
    Not saying it will “end Japan”, but the government estimates that this quake could kill around 320,000 people (mostly by the tsunami).
    - bamboozled 2y ago
      The statistics are a testament to how good the engineers, planners and builders are in Japan. I think we saw the same thing but from the 1920s onwards the deaths from building collapse during a mega quake are down to like 3% of overall deaths whereas the absolute vast majority of deaths are now drownings from Tsunami. In California I’ve seen almost zero preparedness compared to what I’ve seen in Japan and honestly, the San Andreas fault looks nasty.