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It is in moments like these that I wish I wasn’t anonymous on here and could bet a 6 figure sum on AGI not happening in then next 10 years, which is how I defin
by ein0p 2y ago
It is in moments like these that I wish I wasn’t anonymous on here and could bet a 6 figure sum on AGI not happening in then next 10 years, which is how I define “foreseeable future”.
- ToValueFunfetti 2y agoYou disagreed that 2047 was reasonable on the basis that researchers didn't think it wouldn't happen in the foreseeable future, so your definition must be at least 23 years for consistency's sake
- ein0p 2y agoI'd be OK with that, too, if we adjusted the bet for inflation. This is, in a way, similar to fusion. We're at a point where we managed to ignite plasma for a few milliseconds. Predictions of when we're going to be able to generate energy have become a running joke. The same will be the case with AGI.