3 ms·

I don't think it will be the next GUI. I think it will be an alternative with some advantages for selected use cases and big disadvantages for many others. I do

• adventured 2y ago
  It's absolutely not a GUI. It's a conceptual space to build in. It's the difference between the Web and the browser. We'll have a few different types of GUIs layered on top of the conceptual space, including flat GUIs and 3D GUIs. The content of the space in question will overwhelmingly be constructed by generative AI, not raw human labor. Until we find out how large, interesting, freaky, weird, enticing that world will or can be, it'll be nigh impossible to pin down how many people might use it. Prediction: it's going to be extraordinarily massive in scale ~30 years out. It'll be regularly used by billions of people if you look out three or four decades. Large enough that an individual person could never explore even a tiny fraction of it in a lifetime. Eventually generative AI will build so quickly it'll put YouTube content addition to shame in terms of expansion rate. We need to master generative AI (image, video, audio). Then we need to define what people want built in virtual space and create the guide posts for the AI to follow. That will involve a lot of experimentation. We're going to need dramatically greater amounts of storage.
  • brookst 2y ago
    It’s not “a GUI” the same way window-based GUIs are not “a terminal screen”. Agree that there’s a lot to learn, but it is just as different of a display + interaction model as window + mouse was to characters + keyboard.
• brookst 2y ago
  Agree, same way GUIs have not replaced terminals.