4 ms·
how do you get an "effect size" or "confidence interval" without a properly controlled trial? I could claim that the "effect size" of umbrellas leading to rain
by jhp123 2y ago
how do you get an "effect size" or "confidence interval" without a properly controlled trial? I could claim that the "effect size" of umbrellas leading to rain is absolutely enormous, billions of gallons of it drop from the sky! You parachute believers are really something else.
- timr 2y agoThe same reason that the argument is parroted by unserious people in "arguments" like the one above: some things are obvious. I don't need an RCT of dynamite to know that it is deadly. If we do not allow exceptions for the obvious, our intellectual rigidity becomes a liability.
- wakawaka28 2y agoExceptions for "obvious" stuff should be temporary. If a thing is so obvious and relevant to your life, then there should be mountains of anecdotal and scientific evidence proving the idea. Remember, lots of ideas seemed obvious at one time or another and turned out to be disastrously wrong.