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Perhaps "AGI" and potential extinction event level fears is giving this more drama than it should have. Seems like potential extinction event level fears might
by joe_the_user 2y ago
Perhaps "AGI" and potential extinction event level fears is giving this more drama than it should have.
Seems like potential extinction event level fears might justify some drama.
- tbrownaw 2y agoIt's essentially Pascal's wager.
- N0b8ez 2y agoWhat probability for extinction do you consider to be low enough that it effectively becomes a Pascalian wager? Pascal was also writing about a single person's fate (AFAICT), whereas this is about the fate of everyone.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- null0pointer 2y agoThe point is that the probability doesn’t matter because the outcome, total human extinction, is given infinite weight.
- N0b8ez 2y agoMaybe Pascal argued that way for the human soul, but I don't think the AI risk argument needs infinite value to be at stake. Would you say that preparing for the risk of a solar flare or an asteroid impact is also a Pascalian wager?