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If hype just means people are excited about it and talking about it, it should be a positive signal about the merit of the thing. I think people get the wrong i
by ToValueFunfetti 2y ago
If hype just means people are excited about it and talking about it, it should be a positive signal about the merit of the thing. I think people get the wrong idea by measuring P(X is good | people are excited about X) and finding it to be low. But P(X is good | people are not excited about X) is vastly lower, and 'hype' as here used is not really discrediting.
- thaumasiotes 2y ago> I think people get the wrong idea by measuring P(X is good | people are excited about X) and finding it to be low. But P(X is good | people are not excited about X) is vastly lower Only if you're including things that don't exist. If you restrict yourself to things that people might conceivably talk about, that probability is actually very high, for the simple reason that bad things are exciting specifically because they are bad. Here are some boring things: - bread - sunlight - air - water - parents Note that starvation, darkness, suffocation, dehydration, and being orphaned are all much more exciting than their opposites.
- ToValueFunfetti 2y agoPoor phrasing on my part; 'good' should have been 'worth talking about'.