4 ms·

Isn’t this extremely misleading based on the number of people they surveyed? That number is only 2,000 according to this PDF: https://ghostery.cdn.prismic.io/g

Isn’t this extremely misleading based on the number of people they surveyed? That number is only 2,000 according to this PDF: https://ghostery.cdn.prismic.io/ghostery/ZgP8q7LRO5ile652_Ghostery_ThePrivacyPulseReport_2024.pdf https://ghostery.cdn.prismic.io/ghostery/ZgP8q7LRO5ile652_Gh...

klez 2y ago
Isn't that how surveys work?
- JumpCrisscross 2y ago
  And from what I can tell, Censuswide is a credible market researcher.
- skilled 2y ago
  2000 is 0.0007% of 260M adults living in the USA. “Majority of Americans” is a bit off the rails, imo.
  - EA-3167 2y ago
    2000 is a pretty generous sample size if it's a well constructed poll, and of course entirely useless otherwise.
  - tzs 2y ago
    The margin of error when using a random sample of 2000 people out of a population of 260M is less than 2.19% with a 95% confidence level. You are probably making the common mistake of thinking that the larger the population the bigger a sample needs to be to accurately poll. That is true for lower populations but the "sample needed vs. population size" curve is asymptotic. For example, suppose we want to determine what percent of people believe X, with a 5% margin of error and a 95% confidence level. Here's a table of the random sample size needed for various populations: Sample Population 80 100 278 1 000 370 10 000 383 100 000 385 1 000 000 385 10 000 000 ... ... 385 ∞
    - skilled 2y ago
      Thanks for pointing that out. I honestly don’t know anything about surveys. Someone vouched for the company that did it for them, but I am still skeptical that their claim is true or that it deserves such a sensational title. If the survey process was published also then I would have zero issue with it.
daveguy 2y ago
It would completely depend on the survey design and sampling process. If both of those are well considered N=2,000 is a large enough sample size.
lordnacho 2y ago
Imagine you land from another planet, and you discover that humans come in two major varieties. How many of the 8 billion people would you need to survey to discover that roughly half were male? It actually doesn't depend on the population. You could have landed 1000 years ago when the population was much smaller, and carry out a survey with the same number of samples, coming to the same conclusion.

klez 2y ago

Isn't that how surveys work?

JumpCrisscross 2y ago
And from what I can tell, Censuswide is a credible market researcher.
skilled 2y ago
2000 is 0.0007% of 260M adults living in the USA. “Majority of Americans” is a bit off the rails, imo.
- EA-3167 2y ago
  2000 is a pretty generous sample size if it's a well constructed poll, and of course entirely useless otherwise.
- tzs 2y ago
  The margin of error when using a random sample of 2000 people out of a population of 260M is less than 2.19% with a 95% confidence level. You are probably making the common mistake of thinking that the larger the population the bigger a sample needs to be to accurately poll. That is true for lower populations but the "sample needed vs. population size" curve is asymptotic. For example, suppose we want to determine what percent of people believe X, with a 5% margin of error and a 95% confidence level. Here's a table of the random sample size needed for various populations: Sample Population 80 100 278 1 000 370 10 000 383 100 000 385 1 000 000 385 10 000 000 ... ... 385 ∞
  - skilled 2y ago
    Thanks for pointing that out. I honestly don’t know anything about surveys. Someone vouched for the company that did it for them, but I am still skeptical that their claim is true or that it deserves such a sensational title. If the survey process was published also then I would have zero issue with it.

daveguy 2y ago

It would completely depend on the survey design and sampling process. If both of those are well considered N=2,000 is a large enough sample size.

lordnacho 2y ago

Imagine you land from another planet, and you discover that humans come in two major varieties. How many of the 8 billion people would you need to survey to discover that roughly half were male? It actually doesn't depend on the population. You could have landed 1000 years ago when the population was much smaller, and carry out a survey with the same number of samples, coming to the same conclusion.