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I believe it is 2% because you can't ever let inflation get near zero, because deflation is devastating to an economy. (See: Great Depression). Interest rate
by georgeecollins 3y ago
I believe it is 2% because you can't ever let inflation get near zero, because deflation is devastating to an economy. (See: Great Depression). Interest rates, particularly for very safe investments like US bonds tend to be very close to what the long term inflation is expected to be. Like, not inflation this year, but the next five to ten years. That's why it's higher than the CPI when the CPI is very low and lower when it is high.
Everyone knows inflation is unpopular, so you want to keep it low.
The Fed may have to "cut interest rates" (they don't do that directly, but do things with money that have that effect) to improve economic growth, particularly if there is an external shock. They want to have some wiggle room to still be able to cut the interest rate without risking it getting to the dreaded deflationary zero rate. So they have 100- 150 points of stimulus to work with in an emergency.