4 ms·
Numbers: - Q4 Gross Margins 17.6%, EST. 18.1%, down 6.12% YoY - Q4 automotive margins 17.2% ahead of 16.3% Q3, bullish - Q4 Adjusted EPS $0.71, EST. $0.73c,
by chollida1 3y ago
Numbers:
- Q4 Gross Margins 17.6%, EST. 18.1%, down 6.12% YoY
- Q4 automotive margins 17.2% ahead of 16.3% Q3, bullish
- Q4 Adjusted EPS $0.71, EST. $0.73c, down 40% YoY
- Q4 FCF $2.06B, EST. $1.45B, up 45% YoY
- Q4 Rev. $25.2B, EST. $25.9B, up 3% YoY
- Solar deployed 41 Megawatts, not very exciting, really lagging competitors here.
- revenue from credits sold to other companies was $433M down from $550 Q3
- this should eventually go to zero over the next 10 years
- 1.2M Model Y's sold,
Notes:
- EV sales in general rose by about 50% last year in the US
- TSLA now under 50% of EV market in the US, still absurdly good, but falling
- TSLA note growth in 2024 "may be notably lower" than 2023, but refused to offer guidance
- energy storage doubled 2022, that's pretty awesome
- when will they stop manufacturing the S and X, they are pretty minimal compared to the Y & 3 now
Look for:
- next gen(cheap cross over) "leaked" this morning, is that due to bad numbers?
- expected to deliver 100,000/week of these after ramp up
- will this be built outside of hte US to save money?
- dojo computer talk ($1B is alot to put into this space)
- will they break out cyber truck, or hide those numbers, note, they dodged it and said it would take a long time to ramp up
- V12 FSD notes. What data will they release and will the shift to NN to manage handling instead of hard coded rules work out?
- what are they making from super charging?
Thoughts:
- broke down below $200, options call writers win,
- Solar disappointing again, when will they spin that out and focus?
- jandrese 3y ago> - will this be built outside of the US to save money? I hope not since that would disqualify it for the tax credit.
- newfocogi 3y agoMay be a typo but I’m seeing 10,000 next gen vehicles per week, which is an order of magnitude less than you stated. Otherwise, thanks for the great summary!
- makeitdouble 3y agoSelling 50% more vehicles to end up with only 3% more revenue is pretty big. I'd assume we see a other big changes in the coming year with either way stronger diversification or a huge dip in revenue when the discounts' effect disappears and car sales slow down ?
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- refulgentis 3y ago> when will they stop manufacturing the S and X, they are pretty minimal compared to the Y & 3 now Only one reason named so far, but that was enough to let it persist for 4 years so we'll see. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2c95Xi3F7zc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2c95Xi3F7zc
- _ea1k 3y agoThey've said that the next car will initially be built in Texas, but will later also be built at other plants, including Mexico.