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I don't know what "most" do, but I see that form of argument all the time -- particularly from the highest profile doomers. Personally, I think this line of ar
by timr 3y ago
I don't know what "most" do, but I see that form of argument all the time -- particularly from the highest profile doomers.
Personally, I think this line of argument is driven by the hype cycle more than reality. Use chatGPT or midjourney or whatever for a while, and it's pretty easy to see that we're dramatically overweighting theories of AGI risk, and dramatically underweighting stuff like "disemploying the bottom 80% of the intelligence bell curve" with technologies that automate away lots of formerly white-collar labor.
If I had to put my money on an "existential risk" attributable to AI, it would be economic strife.
- adroniser 3y agoIt's worth saying we still haven't seen a single model trained post-hype cycle from openAI. GPT-4 was summer 2022 stuff.