10 ms·

Tech predictions for 2024 and beyond

97 points by sharjeelsayed 3y ago

ilrwbwrkhv 3y ago
Ok literally none of his predictions have any merit. They are absolutely bullshit. My bullshit detector has not gone higher this month. No wonder he is the CTO of Amazon. All of these companies are on their downhill dump.
paxys 3y ago
If you didn't have LLMs on your list of tech predictions a year or two ago why should you have any credibility in predicting the next breakthrough?
f6v 3y ago
It’s one year only, I know we can’t expect a breakthrough. But this is very boring.
timeagain 3y ago
this all sounds great for rich people and like hell for everyone else. AI learns that brown people exist, women become data farms, clippy is your new boss, children are our future profits. There is some kind of satire in here about how tech leaders and QAnon folks want the same things but take opposing routes to get there. Tech wants to say the N-word, get inside women’s private parts, devalue knowledge work, and indoctrinate children. But for liberalism…
- dontupvoteme 3y ago
  >women become data farms I don't follow this one..
  - lamroger 3y ago
    One of his predictions is FemTech being bigger. More data to collect and mine. I just hope these startups have better security than 23andme
andsoitis 3y ago
> Culture influences everything While culture definitely touches everything and is a lens through which we look at the world and each other, there are some things that culture cannot bend to its will. I'm not arguing that there is an objective reality that we can access, but there are things in the universe that culture cannot make a dent in. I had a conversation just this morning with Bard where it provided me with a culture slant that is also, shall we say, politically influenced, but in this particular instance I just wanted the raw facts without taking people feelings into account. It felt like it was lecturing me, which is very very off-putting.
- timeagain 3y ago
  So what was the conversation?
- nyc_data_geek1 3y ago
  >>I'm not arguing that there is an objective reality that we can access, Isn't there? What would the light coming through James Webb be, then? Acceleration due to gravity? The non-repeating nature of Pi? Seems to me the universe is filled with objective realities, and it's our deteriorating social fabric that makes people cast doubt on that fact.
  - andsoitis 3y ago
    Oh, I am not skeptical of objective reality. The operative phrase is the second part, viz. ".... that we can access." Also don't interpret this as giving up, but rather than there are boundaries to what is accessible - while we can push the horizon further and further back, we can never be fully "outside" the system.
deleted 3y ago
[deleted]
kd913 3y ago
I remember some visions of the future from Microsoft from the early 2000s. They even demoed some cool gear with the Kinect and I even managed to try out the table at their campus. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6VfpVYYQzHs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6VfpVYYQzHs That and this vision too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wraF2DjALls https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wraF2DjALls Now I speak to others SWEs in tech from semis to hyperscalers and it feels so bleak. All ethereal bollocks with crypto and AI. All designed to make someone else money. Where is the cool wearable, IoT, actual human interaction tech. We should be having magic mirrors, that style of coffee table... Heck I would settle on smarter green tech. Everything honestly seemed more fun back then from the state of the web, gaming. I have never been so bored with the state of tech.
- aprilthird2021 3y ago
  Meta is working on some of that stuff. But in the current economic era of profit over innovation / growth, those sentiments you miss are going to be dormant for a while.
  - ohthatsnotright 3y ago
    And who can trust Meta anyway? No thanks.
    - fomine3 3y ago
      I don't "trust", but I'm happy that a big CEO named Zuch want to invest VR/AR area instead of easy money area like ads
- nine_zeros 3y ago
  > Where is the cool wearable, IoT, actual human interaction tech You should look into wearable devices like whoop which are steadily carving out the future of useful health-related wearable tech.
  - kd913 3y ago
kqr 3y ago
Is even a single one of these concrete enough to be verifiable? Is this what passes for hypotheses in our business? If you make predictions, please make them concrete enough (actual numbers!) that we can tell in hindsight whether you were right or wrong. Without being able to judge someone's prediction track record, it's all useless for informing any real decision.
- sapiogram 3y ago
  I do appreciate that he linked previous years' prediction at the bottom. Predictions are still too vague to be falsifiable even with hindsight, but it's a start.
  - Slartie 3y ago
    Well, he promoted remote learning in 2021 to "earn its place" in schools. Reality: absolutely everywhere, remote learning has been a shit-show which no one, not the parents, nor the kids, nor the teachers, wants to ever repeat. All other predictions in 2021 were lame and obvious continuations of already-old trends. Easy to get those at least not totally wrong. The "remote learning" one was new, clearly influenced by the pandemic, and thus a risky one. And he pulled an epic fail on that one.
    - BarryMilo 3y ago
      Internet comments are always so polarized... Some people liked remote learning, some didn't. I know some college profs who were glad to stay home in -20C weather. Others hated it even then. It's true that remote teaching didn't take over the world, but I doubt people's appreciation of it had anything to do with it. It just wasn't a long enough event to change anything permanently.
      - Slartie 3y ago
        Yeah, sure, if we had been forced to continue remote teaching for a few more years, we'd probably still do it. But that's not exactly the definition of "earn its place": if you do something just because the alternative that you'd rather like to do is not possible. Also it is not just about taste. Practically all scientific work investigating the large scale home schooling efforts concluded that it was far less effective than normal schooling in practically every measure, including tangential purposes of schools besides teaching, such as providing social context and stabilization and mitigation of socioeconomic differences.
vl 3y ago
This is interesting honorific, many tech sector workers have doctor degrees, but nobody ever calls them doctors. But curiously it is used in the title, which doesn't follow HN title guidelines (i.e. editiorized from original article title).
- senderista 3y ago
  IME nobody in US STEM academia uses it either, at least among themselves. AWS uses it in external comms because "Dr." impresses suits.
tarofchaos 3y ago
lol his 2023 predictions were way off..just saying
- vl 3y ago
  Yes, earlier years were a bit better, but still. As CTO of Amazon he also needs to push the party line. These "predictions" are signaling, not actual predictions, privately he can think completely different things.
nbzso 3y ago
I'm expecting a sobering year for AI in 2024, a result fueled by marketing gimmicks, closed training data and weights, false promises, chaos in recruiting, more tech layoffs due to economy (and false hopes for AI-powered workforce replacement), demotivation in the young workforce, etc. Another reality hit for AI implementation will be the cost of generative AI API services and environmental impact of the process of training the models. But I am not a Doctor, and CTO of big monopolist and I don't have a stake to sell you AI cloud services. So who knows..
- bluGill 3y ago
  I think it will be a few more years before the hype dies down enough for sane heads to realize that. Change the year though and you are correct.
- reqo 3y ago
  Another probable bad side effect of AI will be that a generation of developers will become dependent on copilot/chatgpt to be able to write code! They will definitely perform worse than before llm era without the help of a llm!
  - mewpmewp2 3y ago
    Same could be said about developing with Notepad as opposed to modern IDEs though.
    - thinkingtoilet 3y ago
      Did modern IDEs start writing code for you when you made the jump from Notepad?
      - mjr00 3y ago
        In a lot of ways, yeah. Autocomplete is an absolute game changer and one of the biggest reasons that static typing came back in vogue and crushed dynamic languages. Massive productivity gains when you can ctrl+space and see all of the methods available on a variable, or use a hotkey to figure out if the method you want to call is `do_foo_bar` or `do_foo_and_bar`.
willsmith72 3y ago
> Unburdened by the undifferentiated heavy lifting of tasks like upgrading Java versions, developers can focus on the creative work that drives innovation. I totally agree that AI is going to make it easier and easier for engineers to get closer to the customer and work on real problems. The number of specialist "IT" people, or separate backend and frontend classifications, will decrease and the startup and product world will greatly benefit.
Slartie 3y ago
Here's my prediction: 2025 predictions by the Amazon CTO will not be written by the Amazon CTO, but by an LLM.
pipes 3y ago
I struggled to get through the culturally aware section. Apparently the technology should define its responses in terms of what ever identity group the user has been lumped into. For some reason if it doesn't do this, it won't have the same reach.
- tom_ 3y ago
  Indeed, this section is a bit obvious, but it needs saying because some people struggle to figure this out.
jschveibinz 3y ago
Here are some additional tech predictions relevant to the HN community to compare and contrast: Gartner tech trends: https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/gartner-top-10-strategic-technology-trends-for-2024 https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/gartner-top-10-strategic... Gartner AI predictions: https://www.cio.inc/future-ai-gartners-predictions-for-2024-a-23601 https://www.cio.inc/future-ai-gartners-predictions-for-2024-... Dell predictions: https://www.dell.com/en-us/perspectives/top-tech-predictions-for-2024/ https://www.dell.com/en-us/perspectives/top-tech-predictions... Deloitte predictions: https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/about/press-room/deloitte-technology-media-and-telecom-2024-predictions.html https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/about/press-room/deloitte... BDO predictions: https://www.bdo.com/insights/industries/technology/bdo-tech-predictions-for-2024 https://www.bdo.com/insights/industries/technology/bdo-tech-... NTT predictions: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ntt-announces-key-technology-predictions-150000358.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ntt-announces-key-technology-... Techopedia: https://www.techopedia.com/tech-layoffs-predictions https://www.techopedia.com/tech-layoffs-predictions MIT Tech Review: https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/02/23/1045416/10-breakthrough-technologies-2022/ https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/02/23/1045416/10-break...
gregw2 3y ago
Yeah, there is always the high-level view of these things and the low-level. The way LLMs make stuff up is oft-remarked upon and is unclear whether it's a dealbreaker or not but it might be for any/all of this to come to pass. Here's an Werner/AWS-specific LLM anecdote along those lines: I went onto AWS's LLM Q for the first time today, a little chat icon nicely/helpfully linked from their documentation pages (when logged into my AWS account) and asked it a question which I was unable to find an answer in their docs or via Google/Bing/StackOverflow after 5-10 minutes of searching. What Redshift SQL query can I write to tell whether the instance I am connected to is a Redshift Serverless or a Redshift Provisioned cluster? (I have migrated Redshift clusters in Dev/Nonprod to Serverless to reduce cost, but featureset is not identical so some of our app code is sensitive to the differences and needs to detect which type of environment is present before executing. The release number, but not the instance type, can be found in Redshift SELECT VERSION();.) AWS Q LLM replies: To check if an Amazon Redshift cluster is provisioned or serverless, you can run the following SQL query: SELECT cluster_type FROM svv_cluster_info; The cluster_type will return either "provisioned" or "serverless". You can only connect to and query Serverless clusters using the Amazon Redshift Query Editor v2. Provisioned clusters can be queried using either Query Editor v1 or v2. [...+more text on the differences and a bulleted list of 3 weblinks/sources provided...] Wow! Awesome! This answered my question perfectly! The response and code is formatted beautifully just like real documentation. There are a lot of SVV_ system views and I guess I just missed this one. I am at this point very impressed. I go to actually try the above query on my serverless and provisioned clusters... Serverless: SQL Error [42P01]: ERROR: relation "svv_cluster_info" does not exist Provisioned: SQL Error [42P01]: ERROR: relation "svv_cluster_info" does not exist Aww, man! Another attempt answered similarly affirmatively, this time mentioning an imaginary "SVV_CLUSTER" view (which also didn't work.) So I don't think this is just some "unreleased future feature" leaked to the LLM via its training set of internal documentation (wouldn't that be nice! err, kinda...), since even the SVV_ view name isn't the same when you ask a similar question at different times. Even as a chatbot, the most obvious use case, this is is not really meeting the mark. I know it's brand new and rushed out of the door for re:Invent two weeks ago and I know it'll get better... but it was a bit hard to read Werner's article a few hours later and take it seriously. My first Bayesian prior is now a "err, no".
carlosjobim 3y ago
As long as AI is controlled by Silicon Valley, it will never become culturally aware, because the people controlling it are not the slightest culturally aware. They think diversity sits in the skin colour, and that's about as far as they are willing to think about it, because they are intellectually lazy and have dead souls, without any curiosity for the world. They train their AI on some false assumptions that fits their political faith, and foreigners who need to use their AIs will have to learn about the biases and work around them. Just like it is today.
camillomiller 3y ago
Tech predictions? More like tech wishful thinking
BMc2020 3y ago
I used to enjoy I, Cringely's yearly predictions. He's had medical problems and has gone silent the last 6 months or so. https://www.cringely.com/category/predictions/ https://www.cringely.com/category/predictions/
- rnk 3y ago
  He was great fun. He also had amusing tales of his "tech character's" adventures dating etc. Back in the '90s, when we were all young, his weekly column was a highlight for me.

97 points by sharjeelsayed 3y ago

Ok literally none of his predictions have any merit. They are absolutely bullshit. My bullshit detector has not gone higher this month. No wonder he is the CTO of Amazon. All of these companies are on their downhill dump.

paxys 3y ago

If you didn't have LLMs on your list of tech predictions a year or two ago why should you have any credibility in predicting the next breakthrough?

f6v 3y ago

It’s one year only, I know we can’t expect a breakthrough. But this is very boring.

timeagain 3y ago

this all sounds great for rich people and like hell for everyone else. AI learns that brown people exist, women become data farms, clippy is your new boss, children are our future profits. There is some kind of satire in here about how tech leaders and QAnon folks want the same things but take opposing routes to get there. Tech wants to say the N-word, get inside women’s private parts, devalue knowledge work, and indoctrinate children. But for liberalism…

dontupvoteme 3y ago
>women become data farms I don't follow this one..
- lamroger 3y ago
  One of his predictions is FemTech being bigger. More data to collect and mine. I just hope these startups have better security than 23andme

andsoitis 3y ago

> Culture influences everything While culture definitely touches everything and is a lens through which we look at the world and each other, there are some things that culture cannot bend to its will. I'm not arguing that there is an objective reality that we can access, but there are things in the universe that culture cannot make a dent in. I had a conversation just this morning with Bard where it provided me with a culture slant that is also, shall we say, politically influenced, but in this particular instance I just wanted the raw facts without taking people feelings into account. It felt like it was lecturing me, which is very very off-putting.

timeagain 3y ago
So what was the conversation?
nyc_data_geek1 3y ago
>>I'm not arguing that there is an objective reality that we can access, Isn't there? What would the light coming through James Webb be, then? Acceleration due to gravity? The non-repeating nature of Pi? Seems to me the universe is filled with objective realities, and it's our deteriorating social fabric that makes people cast doubt on that fact.
- andsoitis 3y ago
  Oh, I am not skeptical of objective reality. The operative phrase is the second part, viz. ".... that we can access." Also don't interpret this as giving up, but rather than there are boundaries to what is accessible - while we can push the horizon further and further back, we can never be fully "outside" the system.

deleted 3y ago

[deleted]

kd913 3y ago

I remember some visions of the future from Microsoft from the early 2000s. They even demoed some cool gear with the Kinect and I even managed to try out the table at their campus. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6VfpVYYQzHs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6VfpVYYQzHs That and this vision too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wraF2DjALls https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wraF2DjALls Now I speak to others SWEs in tech from semis to hyperscalers and it feels so bleak. All ethereal bollocks with crypto and AI. All designed to make someone else money. Where is the cool wearable, IoT, actual human interaction tech. We should be having magic mirrors, that style of coffee table... Heck I would settle on smarter green tech. Everything honestly seemed more fun back then from the state of the web, gaming. I have never been so bored with the state of tech.

aprilthird2021 3y ago
Meta is working on some of that stuff. But in the current economic era of profit over innovation / growth, those sentiments you miss are going to be dormant for a while.
- ohthatsnotright 3y ago
  And who can trust Meta anyway? No thanks.
  - fomine3 3y ago
    I don't "trust", but I'm happy that a big CEO named Zuch want to invest VR/AR area instead of easy money area like ads
nine_zeros 3y ago
> Where is the cool wearable, IoT, actual human interaction tech You should look into wearable devices like whoop which are steadily carving out the future of useful health-related wearable tech.
- kd913 3y ago

kqr 3y ago

Is even a single one of these concrete enough to be verifiable? Is this what passes for hypotheses in our business? If you make predictions, please make them concrete enough (actual numbers!) that we can tell in hindsight whether you were right or wrong. Without being able to judge someone's prediction track record, it's all useless for informing any real decision.

sapiogram 3y ago
I do appreciate that he linked previous years' prediction at the bottom. Predictions are still too vague to be falsifiable even with hindsight, but it's a start.
- Slartie 3y ago
  Well, he promoted remote learning in 2021 to "earn its place" in schools. Reality: absolutely everywhere, remote learning has been a shit-show which no one, not the parents, nor the kids, nor the teachers, wants to ever repeat. All other predictions in 2021 were lame and obvious continuations of already-old trends. Easy to get those at least not totally wrong. The "remote learning" one was new, clearly influenced by the pandemic, and thus a risky one. And he pulled an epic fail on that one.
  - BarryMilo 3y ago
    Internet comments are always so polarized... Some people liked remote learning, some didn't. I know some college profs who were glad to stay home in -20C weather. Others hated it even then. It's true that remote teaching didn't take over the world, but I doubt people's appreciation of it had anything to do with it. It just wasn't a long enough event to change anything permanently.
    - Slartie 3y ago
      Yeah, sure, if we had been forced to continue remote teaching for a few more years, we'd probably still do it. But that's not exactly the definition of "earn its place": if you do something just because the alternative that you'd rather like to do is not possible. Also it is not just about taste. Practically all scientific work investigating the large scale home schooling efforts concluded that it was far less effective than normal schooling in practically every measure, including tangential purposes of schools besides teaching, such as providing social context and stabilization and mitigation of socioeconomic differences.

vl 3y ago

This is interesting honorific, many tech sector workers have doctor degrees, but nobody ever calls them doctors. But curiously it is used in the title, which doesn't follow HN title guidelines (i.e. editiorized from original article title).

senderista 3y ago
IME nobody in US STEM academia uses it either, at least among themselves. AWS uses it in external comms because "Dr." impresses suits.

tarofchaos 3y ago

lol his 2023 predictions were way off..just saying

vl 3y ago
Yes, earlier years were a bit better, but still. As CTO of Amazon he also needs to push the party line. These "predictions" are signaling, not actual predictions, privately he can think completely different things.

nbzso 3y ago

I'm expecting a sobering year for AI in 2024, a result fueled by marketing gimmicks, closed training data and weights, false promises, chaos in recruiting, more tech layoffs due to economy (and false hopes for AI-powered workforce replacement), demotivation in the young workforce, etc. Another reality hit for AI implementation will be the cost of generative AI API services and environmental impact of the process of training the models. But I am not a Doctor, and CTO of big monopolist and I don't have a stake to sell you AI cloud services. So who knows..

bluGill 3y ago
I think it will be a few more years before the hype dies down enough for sane heads to realize that. Change the year though and you are correct.
reqo 3y ago
Another probable bad side effect of AI will be that a generation of developers will become dependent on copilot/chatgpt to be able to write code! They will definitely perform worse than before llm era without the help of a llm!
- mewpmewp2 3y ago
  Same could be said about developing with Notepad as opposed to modern IDEs though.
  - thinkingtoilet 3y ago
    Did modern IDEs start writing code for you when you made the jump from Notepad?
    - mjr00 3y ago
      In a lot of ways, yeah. Autocomplete is an absolute game changer and one of the biggest reasons that static typing came back in vogue and crushed dynamic languages. Massive productivity gains when you can ctrl+space and see all of the methods available on a variable, or use a hotkey to figure out if the method you want to call is `do_foo_bar` or `do_foo_and_bar`.

willsmith72 3y ago

> Unburdened by the undifferentiated heavy lifting of tasks like upgrading Java versions, developers can focus on the creative work that drives innovation. I totally agree that AI is going to make it easier and easier for engineers to get closer to the customer and work on real problems. The number of specialist "IT" people, or separate backend and frontend classifications, will decrease and the startup and product world will greatly benefit.

Slartie 3y ago

Here's my prediction: 2025 predictions by the Amazon CTO will not be written by the Amazon CTO, but by an LLM.

pipes 3y ago

I struggled to get through the culturally aware section. Apparently the technology should define its responses in terms of what ever identity group the user has been lumped into. For some reason if it doesn't do this, it won't have the same reach.

tom_ 3y ago
Indeed, this section is a bit obvious, but it needs saying because some people struggle to figure this out.

jschveibinz 3y ago

Here are some additional tech predictions relevant to the HN community to compare and contrast: Gartner tech trends: https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/gartner-top-10-strategic-technology-trends-for-2024 https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/gartner-top-10-strategic... Gartner AI predictions: https://www.cio.inc/future-ai-gartners-predictions-for-2024-a-23601 https://www.cio.inc/future-ai-gartners-predictions-for-2024-... Dell predictions: https://www.dell.com/en-us/perspectives/top-tech-predictions-for-2024/ https://www.dell.com/en-us/perspectives/top-tech-predictions... Deloitte predictions: https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/about/press-room/deloitte-technology-media-and-telecom-2024-predictions.html https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/about/press-room/deloitte... BDO predictions: https://www.bdo.com/insights/industries/technology/bdo-tech-predictions-for-2024 https://www.bdo.com/insights/industries/technology/bdo-tech-... NTT predictions: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ntt-announces-key-technology-predictions-150000358.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ntt-announces-key-technology-... Techopedia: https://www.techopedia.com/tech-layoffs-predictions https://www.techopedia.com/tech-layoffs-predictions MIT Tech Review: https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/02/23/1045416/10-breakthrough-technologies-2022/ https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/02/23/1045416/10-break...

gregw2 3y ago

Yeah, there is always the high-level view of these things and the low-level. The way LLMs make stuff up is oft-remarked upon and is unclear whether it's a dealbreaker or not but it might be for any/all of this to come to pass. Here's an Werner/AWS-specific LLM anecdote along those lines: I went onto AWS's LLM Q for the first time today, a little chat icon nicely/helpfully linked from their documentation pages (when logged into my AWS account) and asked it a question which I was unable to find an answer in their docs or via Google/Bing/StackOverflow after 5-10 minutes of searching. What Redshift SQL query can I write to tell whether the instance I am connected to is a Redshift Serverless or a Redshift Provisioned cluster? (I have migrated Redshift clusters in Dev/Nonprod to Serverless to reduce cost, but featureset is not identical so some of our app code is sensitive to the differences and needs to detect which type of environment is present before executing. The release number, but not the instance type, can be found in Redshift SELECT VERSION();.) AWS Q LLM replies: To check if an Amazon Redshift cluster is provisioned or serverless, you can run the following SQL query: SELECT cluster_type FROM svv_cluster_info; The cluster_type will return either "provisioned" or "serverless". You can only connect to and query Serverless clusters using the Amazon Redshift Query Editor v2. Provisioned clusters can be queried using either Query Editor v1 or v2. [...+more text on the differences and a bulleted list of 3 weblinks/sources provided...] Wow! Awesome! This answered my question perfectly! The response and code is formatted beautifully just like real documentation. There are a lot of SVV_ system views and I guess I just missed this one. I am at this point very impressed. I go to actually try the above query on my serverless and provisioned clusters... Serverless: SQL Error [42P01]: ERROR: relation "svv_cluster_info" does not exist Provisioned: SQL Error [42P01]: ERROR: relation "svv_cluster_info" does not exist Aww, man! Another attempt answered similarly affirmatively, this time mentioning an imaginary "SVV_CLUSTER" view (which also didn't work.) So I don't think this is just some "unreleased future feature" leaked to the LLM via its training set of internal documentation (wouldn't that be nice! err, kinda...), since even the SVV_ view name isn't the same when you ask a similar question at different times. Even as a chatbot, the most obvious use case, this is is not really meeting the mark. I know it's brand new and rushed out of the door for re:Invent two weeks ago and I know it'll get better... but it was a bit hard to read Werner's article a few hours later and take it seriously. My first Bayesian prior is now a "err, no".

carlosjobim 3y ago

As long as AI is controlled by Silicon Valley, it will never become culturally aware, because the people controlling it are not the slightest culturally aware. They think diversity sits in the skin colour, and that's about as far as they are willing to think about it, because they are intellectually lazy and have dead souls, without any curiosity for the world. They train their AI on some false assumptions that fits their political faith, and foreigners who need to use their AIs will have to learn about the biases and work around them. Just like it is today.

camillomiller 3y ago

Tech predictions? More like tech wishful thinking

BMc2020 3y ago

I used to enjoy I, Cringely's yearly predictions. He's had medical problems and has gone silent the last 6 months or so. https://www.cringely.com/category/predictions/ https://www.cringely.com/category/predictions/

rnk 3y ago
He was great fun. He also had amusing tales of his "tech character's" adventures dating etc. Back in the '90s, when we were all young, his weekly column was a highlight for me.