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The disappointing thing is that not a single Republican crossed over in the other direction. Strict ideological enforcement seems much stronger on the GOP side.

alephnerd 3y ago
Which house districts are EV manufacturers located? They're mostly blue districts. Open factories in Red Districts, employ a statistically significant amount of residents, and then the Congressmember will flip.
- seanmcdirmid 3y ago
  Volvo EVs are made in Dorchester county South Carolina, which is red by 9 or so points.
  - alephnerd 3y ago
    You need to employ a statistically significant number of people too though. A significant portion of the EV supply chain is heavily automated making it harder.
    - seanmcdirmid 3y ago
      Red states love their Japanese, European, and (now) Chinese auto factories. They brag about them a lot. There is enough critical mass that the car stuff is already there, and they just need to ship the batteries and motors in, which isn't a lot.
      - alephnerd 3y ago
        > ship the batteries and motors in That's the issue. Most of those parts are manufactured in an automated manner already. An ICE vehicle has more parts, and less portions of the supply chain automated. This translates to more jobs for the various OEMs. Any attempt at transforming an ICE OEM to an EV OEM translates to job losses as well as lower margins [0], which is why both unions (eg. UAW) and ICE manufacturers (eg. Toyota in Japan) have been lobbying against EVs. These D- Congress members are all in districts where victory margins were relatively low and where the downstream impact of EV manufacturing could have a similar impact to what NatGas and Renewables had on Coal and Oil. [0] - https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/news-publications/inside-supply-management-magazine/blog/2023/2022-01/what-will-become-of-ice-oems-facing-the-ev-market/ https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/...

alephnerd 3y ago

Which house districts are EV manufacturers located? They're mostly blue districts. Open factories in Red Districts, employ a statistically significant amount of residents, and then the Congressmember will flip.

seanmcdirmid 3y ago
Volvo EVs are made in Dorchester county South Carolina, which is red by 9 or so points.
- alephnerd 3y ago
  You need to employ a statistically significant number of people too though. A significant portion of the EV supply chain is heavily automated making it harder.
  - seanmcdirmid 3y ago
    Red states love their Japanese, European, and (now) Chinese auto factories. They brag about them a lot. There is enough critical mass that the car stuff is already there, and they just need to ship the batteries and motors in, which isn't a lot.
    - alephnerd 3y ago
      > ship the batteries and motors in That's the issue. Most of those parts are manufactured in an automated manner already. An ICE vehicle has more parts, and less portions of the supply chain automated. This translates to more jobs for the various OEMs. Any attempt at transforming an ICE OEM to an EV OEM translates to job losses as well as lower margins [0], which is why both unions (eg. UAW) and ICE manufacturers (eg. Toyota in Japan) have been lobbying against EVs. These D- Congress members are all in districts where victory margins were relatively low and where the downstream impact of EV manufacturing could have a similar impact to what NatGas and Renewables had on Coal and Oil. [0] - https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/news-publications/inside-supply-management-magazine/blog/2023/2022-01/what-will-become-of-ice-oems-facing-the-ev-market/ https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/...