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No, these people are insane cultists who genuinely believe that they’re about to create a God. They’ve been very explicit about this. Not that they couldn’t be

No, these people are insane cultists who genuinely believe that they’re about to create a God. They’ve been very explicit about this. Not that they couldn’t be lying, but I’m not sure Occam’s razor would suggest that given their long history of public statements on the topic.

tough 3y ago
The lie would be they know it's not a god, but they want you to think so so they can manipulate you into their newfound -god-
xienze 3y ago
AGI is IMO the biggest pipe dream (scam may be too strong a term) in computing. It’s perpetually “10 years away.” I remember when a group working on “AGI” spoke at my university (oof, 21 years ago at this point) and all the talk then was “yep, we’ve totally cracked the code on this thing, it’s just that computers are too slow at the moment. But in 5-10 years, watch out.” I’ve always felt fundamentally that if you don’t understand how human thought works to such a degree that you can distill it down into an algorithm, you certainly can’t make a computer do it. Which I know is pretty obvious, but apparently a lot of people haven’t gotten the memo. What ChatGPT can do is really cool, and incredibly useful, but it’s nowhere near a model of the human thought process.
- SpicyLemonZest 3y ago
  Lots of things in computing are perpetually 10 years away, until one day they aren't. Remember when image classification was the canonical "easy problem computers can't do"?
- deleted 3y ago
  [deleted]
- EPWN3D 3y ago
  Real progress follows two rules: 1. It takes longer than you think 2. It is much more iterative than you think We're not going to all wake up one day and see a robot simulating human thought. We'll just inch closer and closer until we're there, and we won't even realize we got there until we've been there for 5 years. AGI is not an iPhone launch. It's more like the evolution of humans, which took place over millions of years, without anyone being able to identify the first "real" human.

tough 3y ago

The lie would be they know it's not a god, but they want you to think so so they can manipulate you into their newfound -god-

xienze 3y ago

AGI is IMO the biggest pipe dream (scam may be too strong a term) in computing. It’s perpetually “10 years away.” I remember when a group working on “AGI” spoke at my university (oof, 21 years ago at this point) and all the talk then was “yep, we’ve totally cracked the code on this thing, it’s just that computers are too slow at the moment. But in 5-10 years, watch out.” I’ve always felt fundamentally that if you don’t understand how human thought works to such a degree that you can distill it down into an algorithm, you certainly can’t make a computer do it. Which I know is pretty obvious, but apparently a lot of people haven’t gotten the memo. What ChatGPT can do is really cool, and incredibly useful, but it’s nowhere near a model of the human thought process.

SpicyLemonZest 3y ago
Lots of things in computing are perpetually 10 years away, until one day they aren't. Remember when image classification was the canonical "easy problem computers can't do"?
deleted 3y ago
[deleted]
EPWN3D 3y ago
Real progress follows two rules: 1. It takes longer than you think 2. It is much more iterative than you think We're not going to all wake up one day and see a robot simulating human thought. We'll just inch closer and closer until we're there, and we won't even realize we got there until we've been there for 5 years. AGI is not an iPhone launch. It's more like the evolution of humans, which took place over millions of years, without anyone being able to identify the first "real" human.