4 ms·
The high end of that range is much higher than the baseline rates of colon cancer (also mentioned in the article), which are 90/100,000 in the USA. That's one
by timr 3y ago
The high end of that range is much higher than the baseline rates of colon cancer (also mentioned in the article), which are 90/100,000 in the USA.
That's one thing that I wish the author had spent more time on.
- riku_iki 3y ago90/100k cancer rate is likely annual rate, while complication rate is likely per procedure, so you would need to multiply cancer rate by 3 (avg years between procedures) to have reasonable comparison.
- timr 3y agoYou can't just multiply by 3 (it's smaller than that), but yes, you need to adjust both. https://planetcalc.com/7044/ https://planetcalc.com/7044/ (Just to be clear: this is the wrong model. An annual rate of cancer (X%) at a population aggregate does not mean that you have X% independent probability of getting cancer per year. But even assuming that was true, you couldn't just multiply by 3.)