3 ms·

I don't think that was the belief at first, I guess it is now, though. If I recall correctly, prior to the vaccine, the mortality and hospitalization rates amon

I don't think that was the belief at first, I guess it is now, though. If I recall correctly, prior to the vaccine, the mortality and hospitalization rates among even healthy adults were still quite high. I also recall plenty of reported long-term side effects, like originally active people getting winded by a staircase for weeks after. Weren't the mortality rates something like 1% for adults? I remember being shocked by the numerical consequences of the "just infect everyone and get it over with" plans floated by some governments.

nostrebored 3y ago
Right, but it’s well known that mortality predictions for novel diseases are inflated, often by virtue of missing people who don’t have symptoms they care about enough to let anyone know. I forget who the statistician was that accurately predicted the mortality rate of the initial variants by just scaling the predictions down. Mortality of subsequent variants trends down on average because of selection pressures.