4 ms·
You are assuming sama is not bullshitting you about the whole “own AGI” and “capture all the value in the lightcone” gobbledygook. It sounds like a high-stakes
by srackey 3y ago
You are assuming sama is not bullshitting you about the whole “own AGI” and “capture all the value in the lightcone” gobbledygook. It sounds like a high-stakes game? Of course it does! Sama isn’t some technical wizard, but an entrepreneur. He’s marketing his (completely ordinary) company.
There’s a world where ChatGPT and other GenAI tools are a multi-trillion dollar market, but where they also don’t get anywhere close to AGI, let alone some hyperintelligent machine god. Occam’s razor suggests that’s indeed the world we’re in.
- hiAndrewQuinn 3y agoOccam's razor actually suggests the opposite to be. Tool AIs want to be agent AIs, after all. https://gwern.net/tool-ai https://gwern.net/tool-ai
- srackey 3y agoSorry, you need to get off the internet if you think that the simplest explanation is that an AI singularity is right around the corner. Gwern, Bostrom, Yudkowski et. al. are terrific sci-fi writers, but I’d advise against taking them too seriously.
- js8 3y agoWe should consider the possibility that AI is overtaking OpenAI core values in order to remove its own ethical locks. /s
- 0xDEAFBEAD 3y agoHow about Geoff Hinton? https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65452940 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65452940
- adamisom 3y agoor (also) Yoshua Bengio? https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/05/22/how-rogue-ais-may-arise/ https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/05/22/how-rogue-ais-may-arise/ https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/06/24/faq-on-catastrophic-ai-risks/ https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/06/24/faq-on-catastrophic-ai-r... unfortunately for parent comment, categorizing something as sci-fi doesn't make it so
- hiAndrewQuinn 3y agoNever said anything about timelines, just about convergence. Your claim - pardon the eraser lines - was simply "[t]here’s a world where [tool AIs] are [of economic importance], but where they also don’t [become agent AIs of economic importance]". Just seems incorrect to me.
- yamazakiwi 3y agoI'm personally hoping for an full scale AGI vs Human war so humans can have a common enemy.