But even more, some number of shark bites occur each year and for the people bitten, the probability of having been bitten is 1. The main thing is that sure, "

But even more, some number of shark bites occur each year and for the people bitten, the probability of having been bitten is 1. The main thing is that sure, "the probability of this highly incriminating series of events happening to you without you being guilty" may be very small. But probability of "A series of highly incriminating and unlikely series of events happening somewhere, to someone" may be very high, nearly one.