"AGI" is used in a very imprecise way and means different things depending on who you ask. In five or so years there will be a significant portion of the popula

"AGI" is used in a very imprecise way and means different things depending on who you ask. In five or so years there will be a significant portion of the population which consider some AI systems to be AGI. Who knows about "completely" but the actual code generation part of software engineering will likely be handled by AI in the majority of cases within five or so years. There will still be _some_ humans doing actual programming probably, just not usually for common tasks. Because those will have plenty of data available to handle automatically. As soon as I found out about ChatGPT last year, I immediately anticipated that I would be competing with AI for work. And the next day started trying to build code generation tools aimed at end users. I am on the third version of my attempt which is primarily a ChatGPT plugin. My last version could generate, test and deploy some programs based on a chat conversation. But it wasn't very reliable and I didn't have money for marketing. So I am working on a version that has slightly more limited scope but also should be able to make a wide variety of simple applications more reliably through the ChatGPT interface. I suspect that WWIII (powered by superintelligent killer AI swarms) might turn out be a much more pressing concern for people versus careers.