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> Whatever it takes? Yes but this is what the UK did in WW2 and ended up with so much debt that it could no longer service them and other countries lost faith

by rcarr 3y ago

> Whatever it takes? Yes but this is what the UK did in WW2 and ended up with so much debt that it could no longer service them and other countries lost faith in buying the debt and so they invested in the US instead. > If India were able to function and produce at America's level, they would already be leapfrogging everyone, but they are still pretty dysfunctional in terms of governance and allocating capital and labor productively. The only part of India doing well is a small private sector in technology that benefits from the government not caring about it enough to meddle. They're growing rapidly and they're one of only four countries to put a vehicle on the Moon. If the world was at war there would be a lot of money to be made and they're one of the only countries that would be well positioned to take advantage of it. > China, on the other hand, has a much better chance of capitalizing on American instability one way or the other IF they are somehow not involved in the conflict. Well yeah, but we're specifically discussing a theoretical conflict in which they're one of the main players in the conflict.

seanmcdirmid 3y ago
> They're growing rapidly and they're one of only four countries to put a vehicle on the Moon. If the world was at war there would be a lot of money to be made and they're one of the only countries that would be well positioned to take advantage of it. India is probably about where China was I would say 25 years ago (having visited China in 1999 and comparing it against what I saw in India in 2013 or so). There is a lot of documentation about visiting the moon, and while an accomplishment, and probably something that should be done along the way to development (especially if you want to launch like ICBMs, which was the main product of America's moon program), its a bonus. But it isn't as great as figuring out how to do it from zero. Keep in mind that even China lags on jet turbine and semiconductor production (they can get either good perf or good costs, but not both at the same time), that just means India has another 30-40 years before it catches up with the US (assuming the US stagnates, which is probably a good bet).

by rcarr 3y ago

seanmcdirmid 3y ago

> They're growing rapidly and they're one of only four countries to put a vehicle on the Moon. If the world was at war there would be a lot of money to be made and they're one of the only countries that would be well positioned to take advantage of it. India is probably about where China was I would say 25 years ago (having visited China in 1999 and comparing it against what I saw in India in 2013 or so). There is a lot of documentation about visiting the moon, and while an accomplishment, and probably something that should be done along the way to development (especially if you want to launch like ICBMs, which was the main product of America's moon program), its a bonus. But it isn't as great as figuring out how to do it from zero. Keep in mind that even China lags on jet turbine and semiconductor production (they can get either good perf or good costs, but not both at the same time), that just means India has another 30-40 years before it catches up with the US (assuming the US stagnates, which is probably a good bet).