3 ms·
When you say "better than guessing", what exactly do you mean? Because there are certainly many cases where an expert's guess is going to be much better than a
by thfuran 3y ago
When you say "better than guessing", what exactly do you mean? Because there are certainly many cases where an expert's guess is going to be much better than a uniform sampling of the possibility space.
- dekhn 3y agoYes, I agree many expert's informed (not intuitive) opinions are going to be better than uniform sampling. That's not what intuition is: intuition is the ability to make a prediction without thinking about it or using reason. But in practice it's really more a statement about one's inability to recognize that one's own mind did think, or did reason, but in a way that didn't appear to the conscious mind.