There may be 99% chance of failing the great filter in the 500M years before an industrial evolution and 99.99999999% chance of failing it in the 10K years past

There may be 99% chance of failing the great filter in the 500M years before an industrial evolution and 99.99999999% chance of failing it in the 10K years past. Humankind invented nuclear weapons and had a lot of luck that they are hard to make and so far only 2 were used in anger. There's a good chance that with the progress of AI, nanotech, CRISPR very powerful weapons will become available to groups like ISIS - greatly decreasing humankind's chances of survival.