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His prediction was that one human brain's worth of computing power could be acquired for $1000 by 2029. That still seems reasonable. That's not the same as AGI
by panarky 3y ago
His prediction was that one human brain's worth of computing power could be acquired for $1000 by 2029. That still seems reasonable.
That's not the same as AGI or the singularity.
- ggm 3y agoYou have a metric for human brains worth of computing power which hasn't already been exceeded? I can't do infinite precision arithmetic or the RSA algorithm in my head, or index a billion strings into lexical sort order. But I am human, I am conscious and no visible VLSI work or algorithmic model will lead to AGI or a human equivalent computing power by 2029. Let alone for $1000.
- dekhn 3y agowell, you could just be hallucinating your own consciousness. By 2029 it seems not unreasonable to expect that the most sophisticated models will carry out visual and auditory interactions which could fool even the most sophisticated viewer. At that point, what really does consciousness mean? If the robot insisted to me it was conscious, how can I really say no?
- ggm 3y ago> it seems not unreasonable This is where we differ.