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The software and hardware is advancing quickly. Without an actual geopolitical solution, militaries (and their industry partners) are racing to develop the hyp
by ilaksh 3y ago
The software and hardware is advancing quickly.
Without an actual geopolitical solution, militaries (and their industry partners) are racing to develop the hyperspeed general purpose strategic capability faster than their rivals.
This will lead to widely deployed, effective, and inexpensive AI reasoning within just a few years. Outputting at many multiples of human speed. Deployed first at scale in connection to hypersonic missiles, drones, satellites, and advanced malware targeting infrastructure. But shortly thereafter (assuming it does not immediately result in disaster), becoming a ubiquitous locally deployed consumer technology.
- geonaut 3y agoAgree progress is rapid, but I was under the impression model training for LLMs was still the preserve of mega-corps, with the support of eg NVDA providing the hardware. Military may be doing the same behind closed doors of course, but still a large endeavour. Are you suggesting it is too late for regulation?
- ilaksh 3y agoWho is going to regulate the US and Chinese militaries? The CEO of Palantir just published an open letter calling for a Manhattan Project for superintelligent AI warfare. https://archive.is/KSOv4 https://archive.is/KSOv4 What needs to be regulated is the performance of the hardware designs. I have not seen anyone except for myself specifically say this. And no one listens to me. So it seems that society may not figure that out until it's too late.
- geonaut 3y agoWestern militaries have justice systems, including courts and prisons. I presume they also follow best practice in lots of domains, despite some legal exemptions. They also clearly have the aim to preserve society in a safe state. Even if militaries are outside the remit of these new AI orgs, they could still be useful in the civilian world.