3 ms·
Right now he has a 0% chance of survival. If the experimental treatment is at all effective, the probability of not being in the control group multiplied by th
by timmytokyo 3y ago
Right now he has a 0% chance of survival. If the experimental treatment is at all effective, the probability of not being in the control group multiplied by the probability of effective treatment is greater than 0%.
- Arainach 3y agoThe probability of a more painful death is also greater than 0%. So it the probability that something could go wrong and cause publicity which would interfere with the testing or approval of the drug and affect other people's access in the future*. There are always tradeoffs. *this person takes the drug. Two days later they die of a heart attack. Was it caused by the drug? How many resources should be spent to determine that? Should that death be listed in the potential side effects? What if the news story publishes an article and scares people off from the trial? What if it's later proven that the drug had no effect on the heart attack but the distraction from it delayed 10,000 people's access to the drug? The world is complicated.
- Dylan16807 3y agoThe heart attack thing isn't a tradeoff. Whether they test now or test later it has basically the same chance of happening.