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Metaculus launched a Quarterly Cup [1] this month, running new forecasting questions on current events every few days, all resolving within a week to a few mont
by ddp26 3y ago
Metaculus launched a Quarterly Cup [1] this month, running new forecasting questions on current events every few days, all resolving within a week to a few months. It's a great, low-stakes way to get your feet wet with forecasting, getting rapid feedback on a small number of topical questions. (Disclaimer: I work at Metaculus, and I'm motivated to get lots of people to forecast!)
See for example this question on when ChatGPT will re-enable Browse with Bing [2]. FYI, the community forecast is currently hidden on this question to encourage unbiased forecasting.
[1] https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/ https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/
[2] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17896/when-will-browse-with-bing-be-back/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17896/when-will-browse-w...
- slekker 3y agoSorry for the out of place question but I am really curious: how do you folks make money?