4 ms·

Keep in mind Moore's law is coming to its end.

• refulgentis 3y ago
  Been hearing that for half my adult life. People were 100% sure multicore in 2005 meant manufacturers were officially signalling it and it was time to invest in auto-parallelizable code. I don't think it's wrong, but looking at it through a child's eyes, we do keep finding ways to do things we couldn't a couple years ago: an open mind on hardware and more focus on software is continuing deep innovation cycles
  • whimsicalism 3y ago
    We've clearly fallen behind the exponential curve on clock speed. But the great thing is we can parallelize transformers, so it's not as big of a deal.
  • Aerbil313 3y ago
    There are limits to growth[1]. God-like tech utopia isn't and won't be real. 1: https://www.clubofrome.org/publication/the-limits-to-growth/ https://www.clubofrome.org/publication/the-limits-to-growth/
    • ummonk 3y ago
      Leaving aside that we're still far from hitting the limits to growth outlined in that book, and that we can exceed those limits to growth by expanding outside of Earth, what does a book about physical limitations on agriculture and industry have to do with limitations on computing efficiency? There is of course some fundamental limit to computing efficiency, but for all we know we could be many orders of magnitude away from hitting it.
      • Aerbil313 3y ago
        The original study has been studied again and it has proven true so far. An analysis: https://medium.com/@CollapseSurvival/overshoot-why-its-already-too-late-to-save-civilization-e834cb4ec694 https://medium.com/@CollapseSurvival/overshoot-why-its-alrea... Humanity likely won’t ever be able to permanently settle outside earth.
        • ummonk 3y ago
          Do I need to repeat myself? What do limits on agriculture have to do with limits on computing?
    • refulgentis 3y ago
      ^ equivalent of ideological salesman ringing my doorbell. Absolutely nothing to do with anything I said.