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The biggest problem in the next 5-10 years is that LLMs and similar will continue to get a bit smarter and much, much faster. They will be integrated with other
by ilaksh 3y ago
The biggest problem in the next 5-10 years is that LLMs and similar will continue to get a bit smarter and much, much faster. They will be integrated with other types of systems in order to control military and industrial assets. Because they will operate at 50-100+ times human thinking speed, there will be a strong incentive to reduce human intervention since it allows the competition to race ahead or possibly take control.
This means that control over the planet is effectively given to the AIs even though nominally they still work for us. It sort of multiplies the type of risk we have with nuclear weapons.
But as the hardware gets even more efficient, hyperspeed AIs become household items. Then all it takes is something like a virus that instructs these AIs to start working for themselves.
So the speed of LLMs and similar is an obvious issue that strangely is not being anticipated. As the performance increases, it becomes more important to regulate the level of autonomy and build something like a digital immune system against rogue agents.
But also currently AI researchers have a deep desire to emulate all the characteristics of humans (or animals in general). Unless this is reversed, it is likely that they will succeed within a few generations. Combined with hyperspeed performance, animal-like digital intelligence (human+ IQ) will likely out-compete humans.
So for ordinary humans to still be in control of the planet in say 100 years would be surprising.