3 ms·
China? Not really. Started reactors: 2019: 3 reactors (Yangjiang-6, Tianwan-5 et Taishan-2) 2020: 1 (Fuqin-5) 2021: 1 (Hongyanhe-1) 2022: 3 (Fuqin-6) (Hongyanh
by natmaka 3y ago
China? Not really.
Started reactors:
2019: 3 reactors (Yangjiang-6, Tianwan-5 et Taishan-2)
2020: 1 (Fuqin-5)
2021: 1 (Hongyanhe-1)
2022: 3 (Fuqin-6) (Hongyanhe-6) (Fangchenggang-3)
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_commercial_nuclear_reactors#China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_commercial_nuclear_rea...
This trend is old and clear: nuclear produces 6% of China's electricity with 50GW nominal electric power, long-term plans for future capacity are 120 to 150 GW by 2030 ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_China ) while China already has 253GW solar and 281GW wind (plan for combined solar and wind: 1,200 gigawatts by 2030) ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_in_China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_in_China , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_China ). In 2020 alone China added 71.6 GW windpower... Even taking into account the load factors (nuclear may reach .9 while wind-solar combined are at .3 to .5, mainly depending on the proportion of off-shore wind turbine power) this seems quite clear to me.
- orwin 3y agoIsn't solar load factor 10% to 15%? And wind %30 to 45%? I stopped following the improvements around 2019 when it became clear the issues were more social than technological, but that would be huge if wind load factors could reach 60%+,we wouldn't really need that much baseload.
- pfdietz 3y agoThe capacity factor for 1-axis tracking solar in desert locations is more like 30%. Offshore wind can be upwards of 60%. Also, those capacity factors are already taken into account when computing levelized cost of energy, so don't double count.