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Exactly! Putting proper 'base rates' next to an article, so the reader as the quantitative context. Supposedly that info gets incorporated into prediction mark
by vandemonian 3y ago
Exactly! Putting proper 'base rates' next to an article, so the reader as the quantitative context.
Supposedly that info gets incorporated into prediction markets. 'Forecasting best practice' starts by looking at long-term historical averages to give a sense of the underlying frequency of an event...
- ada1981 3y agoI've often envisioned a future where instead of a stream of headlines of sensationalized news, people just see a KPI dashboard for their life, their family, community and the world. I'm curious how to approach building that or what already exists.