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It might be my imagination, but it seems like the team over there has some smart people but they happened to hit the ML lottery at the right time, really don't
by dekhn 4y ago
It might be my imagination, but it seems like the team over there has some smart people but they happened to hit the ML lottery at the right time, really don't have a clue about business, and now they have to scramble to top what they did before. Brockman and a few of the ML researchers are definitely good at what they do. I don't see the company itself really turning into something profitable when faced with sustained competition.
- sebzim4500 4y agoWhat do you base this on exactly? At the time of the GPT-3.5 release, they didn't really have much technology-wise that every other tech company didn't have. And yet OpenAI is the only one to have released a useful product.
- dekhn 4y agoI base it on sevearl things- I worked at Google on TPUs and regularly saw google training so I would expect they likely have GPT-4 parity or better internally but can't figure out how to productize it. I was also an evaluator for Google Ventures, which meant I'd go look at all the details in a startup and decide if it made sense to invest. I've seen many companies with similar splashy hype who failed to reach orbit.
- sebzim4500 4y ago> I've seen many companies with similar splashy hype who failed to reach orbit. Really? Because I don't think I can think of a single company in the last decade that has achieved this level of hype. Maybe Tesla.