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Princeton had Clinton at a >99% chance in their 2016 election forecast.
by akio 3y ago
Princeton had Clinton at a >99% chance in their 2016 election forecast.
- kadoban 3y agoYeah, they used the obviously bad model that each state's results are independent rolls of the dice. Which, flawed models can still be useful, but I seem to recall them being pretty arrogant about their prediction in 2016 too, before the fact.