7 ms·
https://election.princeton.edu/ https://election.princeton.edu/
by nwiswell 3y ago
https://election.princeton.edu/ https://election.princeton.edu/
- akio 3y agoPrinceton had Clinton at a >99% chance in their 2016 election forecast.
- kadoban 3y agoYeah, they used the obviously bad model that each state's results are independent rolls of the dice. Which, flawed models can still be useful, but I seem to recall them being pretty arrogant about their prediction in 2016 too, before the fact.