I don't think that our experience in software engineering applies very well to understand what is happening with ChatGPT. Here is the math I do, starting from

I don't think that our experience in software engineering applies very well to understand what is happening with ChatGPT. Here is the math I do, starting from the addressable market. There are 60M professional workers in the US [1]. The number is probably similar in EU and APAC. This yields ~200M professional workers in the world. If 5% of them have a paid subscription, that's exactly how you get 10M paid subscribers. Of course, the debate is around the 5%. The rate in the pure tech industry is much higher (10-20% around me), and it is probably much lower in other areas (e.g. architecture). But 5% as an average is not unrealistic. [1] https://www.dpeaflcio.org/factsheets/the-professional-and-technical-workforce-by-the-numbers https://www.dpeaflcio.org/factsheets/the-professional-and-te...