You’d have to amplify the effects since nat gas is usually where your marginal capacity comes from. For electricity, it’s the last to get turned on and first t

You’d have to amplify the effects since nat gas is usually where your marginal capacity comes from. For electricity, it’s the last to get turned on and first to turn off. And I don’t imagine a quick change to non-natgas building heating except for those that have existing dual-fuel (e.g. using the wood stove for once). Unsure if oil heat became cheaper than natgas but that’s unusual. But the whole equation is even more complicated. Did Europe import more ammonium fertilizer instead of making it itself? Then that’s just pushing the energy consumption elsewhere. Same for glassmaking, aluminum smelting, etc.