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This time it isn't a bunch of empty suits from McKinsey saying it. It's the technologists that built the Internet and smartphones. By all means keep your own e

by marvin 4y ago

This time it isn't a bunch of empty suits from McKinsey saying it. It's the technologists that built the Internet and smartphones. By all means keep your own estimates of what the world will look like in 10 years and act accordingly, but I'm trusting my own technologist's judgement on this one.

staticman2 4y ago
Technologists predicted we'd have AGI by 1980. Assuming their claims are accurate is pretty naive.
JohnFen 4y ago
Historically speaking, technologists are no better at predicting the future than empty suits are.
- marvin 4y ago
  That’s obviously false; they built the future at every juncture, usually to protests from the status quo. I’m excluding the desk jockey pundits from the argument, of course.
  - palata 4y ago
    I think you missed the point. We are talking about predicting the future, not building it.
palata 4y ago
> keep your own estimates I am not estimating anything. I'm saying that there is no way to know where it will go. You are the one doing what the empty suits did: you are predicting something based on your beliefs only. Not that you can't do it: everyone can believe what they want. But it would be wise to realize that it's a belief, even if you are a technologist.