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ChatGPT is a content generator. It needs to be directed, and the content doesn't inherently do anything, it needs to be actioned, and the content is inherently

ChatGPT is a content generator. It needs to be directed, and the content doesn't inherently do anything, it needs to be actioned, and the content is inherently hit and miss and needs to be filtered. It's like using stock photos. I, as a non-photographer, can get access to a ton of content that's of varying quality but all passing some quality bar. The content has none of my context so I need to search/filter/curate. While I, as a non-expert, can do this, at some quality bar that's not going to be good enough and an "art director" or photography expert will be able to do a better job at using stock photos because they understand how to create cohesive selections that fit a brand or brief. This opens the market dramatically for non-experts, and gives the experts a huge productivity boost by automating leg-work and letting them focus on where they can add value with expertise, taste, context, and so on.

seanmcdirmid 4y ago
Improving productivity invariably means less jobs needed to produce the same amount of output. If we can expand the output being consumed, then great, but how many sitcom plots do we really need?
- danpalmer 4y ago
  Consider an illustrator. The standard working model may be to receive a brief, present 5 sketches to the client, they pick 1, and you turn it into a final draft, touch-up, then done. Midjourney might automate those sketches, either for the client or the illustrator, but it's unlikely to automate the final draft as that will contain significant amounts of context that these models are not able to hold, and it's unlikely to automate the touch-up process as this requires the same context plus great care in the adjustments being done, again something these models struggle with. If this happens, now an illustrator can produce more illustrations in the same amount of time, prices come down, demand goes up. Sure that's a simplified view, but are we saturated on these services? I doubt it in most cases.
  - dogma1138 4y ago
    That’s because you are looking at the tools right now. These tools would definitely eliminate some links in the chain and would reduce the need for some others. How many companies still employ people today to do data entry?
- adhesive_wombat 4y ago
  > how many sitcom plots do we really need? Current non-AI plots don't seem to be especially innovative, so apparently that isn't a major concern of the market. The idea of a human actors acting out an AI-generated story certainly does have a certain Black Mirror quality to it.
- thfuran 4y ago
  Not more than one per half hour per person/couple/friend group I suppose.
- fnordpiglet 4y ago
  Maybe when scarcity isn’t a thing working won’t be a moral imperative? Work is only moral because of scarcity. Maybe being someone’s slave for your food and shelter isn’t a writ from god.
zht 4y ago
Yea until people who don’t realize this believe in its hallucinations and think it’s sentient or whatever
tempaccount420 4y ago
I don't like this argument, because it assumes that as productivity increases, demand follows 1:1. You can only sell so many apps, so many phones, show so many photos to a person...
deleted 4y ago
[deleted]
thordenmark 4y ago
Good description, this has been my experience using it. It generates a lot of mid to low quality content, with the occasional flash of something brilliant, rapidly which requires a lot of editing and work to turn it into something useable. To borrow from Steve Jobs, it is a bicycle for the mind. You still have to pedal.
basch 4y ago
Once they write a CFObot version, and it can sit in every corporate meeting, is it really fair to say it needs to be directed? “Hey CFO bot what do you think.” “Hey CFO bot, speak out of turn and alert me if anything alarming happens or you have cause for concern.” It’ll know how to behave as a cfo, what to look for, and what to reformulate back as responses. It’ll come for pattern matching jobs first. How long until you can conduct an entire meeting with 5 variants, promoted with different purposes and tasks?

seanmcdirmid 4y ago

Improving productivity invariably means less jobs needed to produce the same amount of output. If we can expand the output being consumed, then great, but how many sitcom plots do we really need?

danpalmer 4y ago
Consider an illustrator. The standard working model may be to receive a brief, present 5 sketches to the client, they pick 1, and you turn it into a final draft, touch-up, then done. Midjourney might automate those sketches, either for the client or the illustrator, but it's unlikely to automate the final draft as that will contain significant amounts of context that these models are not able to hold, and it's unlikely to automate the touch-up process as this requires the same context plus great care in the adjustments being done, again something these models struggle with. If this happens, now an illustrator can produce more illustrations in the same amount of time, prices come down, demand goes up. Sure that's a simplified view, but are we saturated on these services? I doubt it in most cases.
- dogma1138 4y ago
  That’s because you are looking at the tools right now. These tools would definitely eliminate some links in the chain and would reduce the need for some others. How many companies still employ people today to do data entry?
adhesive_wombat 4y ago
> how many sitcom plots do we really need? Current non-AI plots don't seem to be especially innovative, so apparently that isn't a major concern of the market. The idea of a human actors acting out an AI-generated story certainly does have a certain Black Mirror quality to it.
thfuran 4y ago
Not more than one per half hour per person/couple/friend group I suppose.
fnordpiglet 4y ago
Maybe when scarcity isn’t a thing working won’t be a moral imperative? Work is only moral because of scarcity. Maybe being someone’s slave for your food and shelter isn’t a writ from god.

zht 4y ago

Yea until people who don’t realize this believe in its hallucinations and think it’s sentient or whatever

tempaccount420 4y ago

I don't like this argument, because it assumes that as productivity increases, demand follows 1:1. You can only sell so many apps, so many phones, show so many photos to a person...

deleted 4y ago

[deleted]

thordenmark 4y ago

Good description, this has been my experience using it. It generates a lot of mid to low quality content, with the occasional flash of something brilliant, rapidly which requires a lot of editing and work to turn it into something useable. To borrow from Steve Jobs, it is a bicycle for the mind. You still have to pedal.

basch 4y ago

Once they write a CFObot version, and it can sit in every corporate meeting, is it really fair to say it needs to be directed? “Hey CFO bot what do you think.” “Hey CFO bot, speak out of turn and alert me if anything alarming happens or you have cause for concern.” It’ll know how to behave as a cfo, what to look for, and what to reformulate back as responses. It’ll come for pattern matching jobs first. How long until you can conduct an entire meeting with 5 variants, promoted with different purposes and tasks?