Don't get me wrong: I don't buy the current hype either. But that doesn't mean there is nothing, and one can ignore what's there, and what's on the horizon alr

Don't get me wrong: I don't buy the current hype either. But that doesn't mean there is nothing, and one can ignore what's there, and what's on the horizon already. All of your examples boil down to "it's not economical". There was no technological argument presented. Let's take for example the thing with the waste collection. You could fully automate the whole process even with 100 year old tech! Just build tunnels with conveyor belts under the houses. (Of course this would need still some human maintenance like what we have for water and gas, but it would not need all the trucks and human collector). The point is, that's not economical. The trucks and the human collectors are still much cheaper! But there is absolutely no technical reason that would prevent a different solution. Your example with the hundreds of Euros costing robot that still can't even do the same as a 5 Euro broom is the core here: It's all about the costs. (That's get even admitted in the oranges picking example.) But AI is in the first place actually not about robots. It's about doing cognitive tasks. Maybe AI won't replace trash collectors really soon, but it could for example replace the expertise of medical doctors or lawyers pretty soon. Still a doctor wouldn't get unemployed instantly; because we don't have human like robots that could to the physical part of the work. But we have now (almost) machines that can do the mental work. And no, I'm not living in a bubble. I'm quite skeptical about the current hype actually, as stated already. But I'm trying to maintain some realistic picture. I'm not denying technical progress. (Even I try to ignore the marketing bullshit around it.) And to be honest: I estimate the intelligence of my fellow human beings extremely low indeed. Almost all human problems are human made. But we didn't manage to solve them even over tens of thousands of years. That's imho because humans are on average dumb. Very dumb actually. At the same time there is not much to "overestimate" regarding computers. We will reach quite sure in the next 25 years a level of raw processing power that will be (at least) equivalent to the one of the human brain. As there is not "magic" involved in how brains work (they're just machines!) there is absolutely no reason why a human made machine could not reach human level of intelligence (which is in my opinion not even a very high one). So summarize: I don't "fear" anything like the current "GPTs" to take my job, or the job of a lot of people. But the (imho) inevitable will happen. And it will likely happen sooner than a lot of people would like…