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How to Beat Russia [pdf]
- devd00d 4y agoI hope Russia doesn't have the internet and manages to get this guide. #plansFoiled
- Gys 4y agoThey probably have their own version of this research based on a series of 20 extensive interviews with combat-experienced Russian commanders and soldiers...
- Idiot_in_Vain 4y agoAnd because these commanders and soldiers don't want to end up in a Siberian prison or worse, they report everything is going according to plan, there are no losses in the russian army, russian weapons have no analogs anywhere in the world and Kiev will soon be taken.
- hdjjhhvvhga 4y agoIt seems ridiculous but after watching what has been happening over the last year it doesn't seem the least likely scenario.
- Idiot_in_Vain 4y agoNot a problem. There's one person making the important decisions in Russia and he doesn't know how to use the internet.
- Gys 4y agoFrom the summary: > Evidently, Ukraine will prevail. > The report is based on open-source intelligence information and a series of 20 extensive interviews with combat-experienced Ukrainian commanders and soldiers. > This report pursues two simple questions throughout ten dimensions: What are the Ukrainians doing particularly well? And what can we in NATO, the EU, and beyond learn from them? Interesting research although it seems a little subjective.
- m000 4y ago> Evidently, Ukraine will prevail. Also, if you need to write "evidently", then it's probably not that evident.
- andrejguran 4y agoEvidently has 2 meanings: "obviously" and "seemingly" here it was meant the second rather than the first you're referring to
- readthenotes1 4y ago2 meanings, yep: 1 in an evident manner : clearly, obviously 2 on the basis of available evidence (It can be used ironically for whatever that word means, but, ironically every word can be) (From Merriam-Webster)
- andrejguran 4y agoMerriam-Webster doesn't say anything about irony? Or you meant that the globsec report used the word ironically? It doesn't seems like it to me.
- orwin 4y agoI learned in my high school English lessons that evidently is kind of a false friend and that I should use 'obviously' rather than something that mean 'according to evidence'. It was Oxford's English though, so the meaning in real life might have changed now.
- m000 4y agoMy point is that there is a plethora of alternatives which would be more concise in conveying whatever the authors had in mind. "Evidently" is a weasel word in this case, and it's just leaving us readers to speculate and argue.
- ShivShankaran 4y ago[dead]
- Idiot_in_Vain 4y agoI hope Ukraine can beat Russia and liberate it's territory in 2014 borders, but it's far from a done deal. Currently Russia produces more ammo than all NATO countries combined. Ukraine allies need to open new assembly lines for ammo production, as a successful attack on the pretty well prepared Russian defences will take a ton of artillery shells. Looks like Russia mobilized over half a million soldiers so far (while officially stating 300K). Their military factories are working on 3 shifts 24/7. When they produce enough equipment and weapons no doubt they'll do a new wave of mobilization. Long term Russia can mobilize more soldiers than Ukraine, so NATO has to compensate by supplying Ukraine with big amount of artillery, tanks, fuel, equipment and most importantly ammo.
- medo-bear 4y ago[flagged]
- andrejguran 4y agowhy would they send citizens? NATO has 3.3mil army vs 800k of Russia
- medo-bear 4y agoi think terms like troops, army, etc. have potential to be 'newspeak'. in every case we are talking about citizens. and whats most worrying if things get really hot ... reservists then conscription. just ask russians and ukranians ... or vietnam vets. personally im very worried about the prospect of world war but media seems to be fueling this hero brave pro-war attitude and people seem to be buying it! putin must be punished for his crimes, but do not pretend that us and nato are any better
- hdjjhhvvhga 4y ago> media seems to be fueling this hero brave pro-war attitude I don't think any serious media is pro-war, it's more like we have two choices: (1) either send weapons, or (2) watch Ukrainians die and become slaves of Putin. This is a tough moral choice because either involves killing, but we don't have the luxury of having more choices. If we don't do anything, Ukrainians will suffer. If we ask Urkainians to surrender, they won't even listen because they know how cruel their fate will be.
- expertentipp 4y ago[flagged]
- newaccount2021 4y ago[dead]
- tomalaci 4y agoI've been following daily updates about Ukraine war from few popular channels that I can highly recommend. For those interested: - Denys Davydov (Ukrainian, most frequent updates, also has telegram channel which has a lot more battleground details than what youtube allows to show) - Jake Broe (US army veteran mostly providing American perspective) - Arthur Rehi (Estonian providing decent summaries)
- roenxi 4y agoRussia is struggling to invade Ukraine. The report starts off with > Provide basic military training and basic medical training to large parts of society as an opening recommendation. Are they serious? Why would we bother? It is obvious that the Russian army can't challenge the NATO army as it stands.
- rainworld 4y ago10. The best stories win the strategic information war. But stories are just that, stories. And the war is not being decided in the information space.
- yetihehe 4y agoBut popular support is. If you had no support from population, you would have harder time with waging war or defending. When your opponent has better propaganda and is able to spread it in your population, your population is slowing you down. We currently have better quality propaganda, and can spread it easily thanks to the internet. Russians can spread their propaganda but have worse quality, so they don't have support in west. We can't spread our propaganda easily in Russia, so Russians believe in their side. Those Russians who saw both sides mostly left Russia.
- rogerthis 4y agoLooks like a consulting company report (I could say a name, but there are more that apply). Also, despite "...with combat-experienced...", it feels like no skin in the game.
- ceva 4y ago[flagged]
- Kratacoa 4y agoAnd you're seriously oversimplifying the situation, lacking in depth knowledge on the topic. Following the news, given the often precarious state of journalism, is not enough to have a "contrarian" (actually mainstream) opinion.
- haspok 4y agoThe fact is that the example of Afghanistan clearly shows what a puppet state is like, and what happens if it is left without a supporting army. There were US soldiers backing the afghan government, yet when they left (actually, even _before_ they left) the whole country collapsed. There are no US or other NATO soldiers in Ukraine (apart from privateers). They get material support, but nobody else is fighting for them. Yet they repelled the initial, vastly overpowering Russian attack, and they have been able to hold their lines for the past year pretty well. The EU or the US is not fighting a war against Russia in a classical sense. If they were you would notice, because we are talking about nuclear powers. It would most probably be a rather short war.
- naxter 4y agoThe important part is missing in the headline: "What armed forces in NATO should learn from Ukraine’s homeland defense" Indeed we learned that WW1 style trench warfare is still a thing, so you need cannon fodder, howitzers and shells. Alternatively, one might try diplomacy like Bismarck (who was fired by the emperor before WW1 and replaced by neocon equivalents).
- hdjjhhvvhga 4y agoYes and no. Note that NATO has excellent aircraft and they were successfully used in the past, whereas Ukraine has almost none. I'd add "put a lot of anti-missile defence around your power plants" as trying to break civilians seems to be Putin's favorite ploy.
- red-iron-pine 4y agoUkraine had a few aircraft, but they stand zero chance against the VVS and their long range air-to-air missiles. Nor do they have any real counter (SEAD) to Russian ground-based anti-air systems. This works both ways, though, as Ukrainian AA is also very effective.
- The_Colonel 4y agoUkrainians were able to achieve temporary localized SEAD with the HARM missiles. But it's not that meaningful without significantly larger airforce.
- MrRiddle 4y ago[dead]