3 ms·
Clickbait headline but interesting article. Personally I believe that the actual conflict with AI implied by the headline will probably be real within not too
by ilaksh 4y ago
Clickbait headline but interesting article.
Personally I believe that the actual conflict with AI implied by the headline will probably be real within not too many decades. I don't know how many but I will be surprised if it's more than a few hundred years.
Actually at this rate it looks like less than forty years before we see autonomous digital human-like persons walking around that have ten times or more intelligence than un-augmented humans. Which I think it will be very unwise to do that, but someone will anyway.
You just have to look at what the latest LLMs can do, then see how much potential there is in the multimodal transformer models for significantly better and more general world understanding. Look at the development of new types of compute-in-memory with huge increases in efficiency and performance for AI.
And there is a great interest in all of the things that make us creature-like such as survival instincts and autonomy. Which again, bad idea but nothing is going to stop that research from accelerating.
- rwmj 4y agoDo you envisage these androids being connected back to base over radio links? Because we're nowhere near able to make and power an independent machine, 10 times more complicated than the brain, especially while we're still using silicon and assembling chips essentially in 2D.
- lostmsu 4y ago8x80G A100 pod capable of running GPT-3 could reasonably be redesigned to fit into a regular car chassis. It would even consume much less energy than the actual driving (a 5-10 kW vs 30+kW).
- ilaksh 4y agoIt is 100% plausible for them to operate with remote brains. But eventually no, I expect within 40 years we will have moved very far beyond A100. We will at the very least have mature compute-in-memory which will be orders of magnitude better performance and efficiency. For this progress to not occur would be an incredibly improbable break from history.