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This is a side note, but are you absolutely convinced Sweden will join NATO?
by psychphysic 4y ago
This is a side note, but are you absolutely convinced Sweden will join NATO?
- sofixa 4y agoI'm an optimist and hope that Erdogan will finally lose the next election, and thus there will be no more political blocking of Sweden joining.
- miroljub 4y agoWhy do you expect the next government will somehow be better for Sweden than Erdoğan? If they climb to power, they will still need to compel to hardcore nationalist population, in case of Sweden even more than Erdoğan, since they will need their social credit for topic they find important to them and won't burn it because of Sweden.
- mschuster91 4y agoIn the end, Erdogan's opposition to Sweden is mostly related to Sweden granting asylum to Kurds, and Sweden can't (and won't) extradite them because Swedish law forbids them to. And if the opposition candidate wins, he will be busy repairing all the mess Erdogan did to Turkey's foreign relations - even if the nationalists in the coalition will whine, they can't afford wasting more political good-will for a couple hundred Kurds.
- chii 4y agoturkey knows they are in a position to extract more concessions out of sweden (and the US). Sweden wants to be in NATO more than NATO truly need sweden, and turkey knows it. Eventually turkey will concede, but not before squeezing every drop of advantage they can obtain. It doesn't really matter who's at the top in turkey - the incentive dictates the behaviour.
- psychphysic 4y agoSimilarly I suspect any Turkish leadship would place a high value on it's relationship with Russia. Turkey feels safe already with respect to Russia. But increasingly slighted by Western attitudes.
- rswskg 4y agoErdogan is going nowhere sadly.