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That is probably true, but it is worth noting that when people war gamed out a swift capture of any Baltic state (kind of like what happened in Crimea) one of t
by georgeecollins 4y ago
That is probably true, but it is worth noting that when people war gamed out a swift capture of any Baltic state (kind of like what happened in Crimea) one of the frequent moves of the Russian player was to capture Gotland, which made NATO reinforcement very difficult. Also, it showed that while Sweden has a capable air force and good naval assets in the baltic, it still might have trouble defending Gotland in the future.
I don't think anyone thinks an attack on Gotland was ever likely, and it certainly isn't now, but if Russia's goal was to bring back all the former states of the Soviet Union, the Baltic states are on that list. And that gets pretty difficult for those two countries to stay neutral. Finland was once part of Russia too and they have a contentious history.