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lol imagine criticizing Nate Silver saying there was a high chance of a red wave when nearly 95% of all other sources said there would be one. He never said 100
by lost_tourist 4y ago
lol imagine criticizing Nate Silver saying there was a high chance of a red wave when nearly 95% of all other sources said there would be one. He never said 100% at all from anything I read over there.
- kadoban 4y agoYeah, for ref this was their forecast: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ So, 27% chance of the outcome that happened, 57% chance of R winning both houses. Really not bad, considering, and _far_ better than most other places.
- jeegsy 4y ago> Nate was aware this was happening and by not addressing it he ended up contributing to misleading the American people about what was happening in the election Please observe closely the manner in which the accusation "misleading the American public" is deployed. Truly we are headed for dangerous waters in our public discourse if we are not there already. How was Silver supposed to address whatever it was???