4 ms·

Can they protect the sea supply lines from the US navy? Highly doubtful. Without those China grinds to a halt and starves. They are highly dependent on the amer

by rapsey 4y ago

Can they protect the sea supply lines from the US navy? Highly doubtful. Without those China grinds to a halt and starves. They are highly dependent on the americas for their food. Being an export economy losing your market is much more devastating.

katbyte 4y ago
they also import a lot of energy like coal from Australia
nradov 4y ago
In particular the US could declare a blockade and drop a handful of naval mines near Chinese ports. At that point almost all neutral merchant ships would have to avoid those ports because it's virtually impossible to obtain insurance in conflict zones, especially because insurers can't risk violating US financial sanctions.
- FpUser 4y ago
  The blockade is a war act. If China starts the war then sure. Otherwise blockading China by "dropping naval mines near their ports" is sci-fi area.
  - nradov 4y ago
    Yes, of course. Declaring a blockade and mining harbors would only happen as a response to some sort of major aggressive act by China. It would be an act of war, but still a step below direct kinetic attacks on the Chinese military. It's possible to de-escalate from a blockade.
    - FpUser 4y ago
      >"It's possible to de-escalate from a blockade." How? Oh please remove the blockade, we'll be a good girl from here on? Yeah sure. You think they would even let it get to the stage when harbors are mined? The only realistic and safe course of actions is for the West to get their shit together and start very gradual decoupling. This will of course be reciprocal and the end result will be multi-polar world with ever changing alliances. And after a while the trade between "enemies" will resume again and the circle will continue.
FpUser 4y ago
>"Can they protect the sea supply lines from the US navy?" The US will not attack China's ships (assuming China did not start the war). Doing this is straight WWIII scenario. All bets are off in this case. You think the US is suicidal?

by rapsey 4y ago

katbyte 4y ago

they also import a lot of energy like coal from Australia

nradov 4y ago

In particular the US could declare a blockade and drop a handful of naval mines near Chinese ports. At that point almost all neutral merchant ships would have to avoid those ports because it's virtually impossible to obtain insurance in conflict zones, especially because insurers can't risk violating US financial sanctions.

FpUser 4y ago
The blockade is a war act. If China starts the war then sure. Otherwise blockading China by "dropping naval mines near their ports" is sci-fi area.
- nradov 4y ago
  Yes, of course. Declaring a blockade and mining harbors would only happen as a response to some sort of major aggressive act by China. It would be an act of war, but still a step below direct kinetic attacks on the Chinese military. It's possible to de-escalate from a blockade.
  - FpUser 4y ago
    >"It's possible to de-escalate from a blockade." How? Oh please remove the blockade, we'll be a good girl from here on? Yeah sure. You think they would even let it get to the stage when harbors are mined? The only realistic and safe course of actions is for the West to get their shit together and start very gradual decoupling. This will of course be reciprocal and the end result will be multi-polar world with ever changing alliances. And after a while the trade between "enemies" will resume again and the circle will continue.

FpUser 4y ago

>"Can they protect the sea supply lines from the US navy?" The US will not attack China's ships (assuming China did not start the war). Doing this is straight WWIII scenario. All bets are off in this case. You think the US is suicidal?