4 ms·

Not a sound comment, population of Japan on 1873 was estimated to be 35M. Current population of Japan is 100M+

• georgeecollins 4y ago
  Right, and at the rate they are going their population would "disappear" in 500 years or more. I am sure nothing will change between now and then. These demographic crises arguments are no better than the population bomb arguments of the 1960s. You can project forward and get all kinds of results but over the decades things change.
  • thriftwy 4y ago
    "Disappear" should not get in quotes. I once wrote a simple simulation of society with low birth rate and was shocked how fast they all went away to zero. Had a nice population bulge initially.
    • bigDinosaur 4y ago
      There are probably subgroups of Japanese people with birth rates higher than replacement. There may also be major advantages to having a child in 2100 that are not evident now (vast tracts of unclaimed land to exploit?).
    • tsimionescu 4y ago
      This is like the old saying - statisticians will happily tell you how long your nails will be 40 years from now (with the mild assumption that you won't cut them). A country of 100M people will change its birth patterns long long long before it "disappears".
    • quacked 4y ago
      The only way populations go to zero is in a Children of Men situation, if the city dwelling populations all choose not to reproduce eventually the country will have a lower population by be more comprised of religious cults with high reproduction rates