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Casualty =! KIA. 100k casualty would mean between 20k and 33k KIA depending on if the army is on the offense and if the medical supply are well distributed. R
by orwin 4y ago
Casualty =! KIA.
100k casualty would mean between 20k and 33k KIA depending on if the army is on the offense and if the medical supply are well distributed.
Russia isn't getting richer, everyone is getting poorer because of this conflict (it's econ 101).
I also know someone in the French military industry (big wig at Thales) who is extremely happy of how the russian equipment performed and actively recruit right now because he knows that even if the conflict end quickly, there is now way Russia keep its second place as world arms dealers, and already have a selling point about how the only russian equipment that wasn't disappointing used Thales optics, electronics and/or avionics. Don't know if it's real, but it seems backed by data and i don't see why he would lie to me (he knows i'm not interested).
- wwtrv 4y agoRising oil prices did benefit Russia immensely, though. IIRC their budget revenue even increased during the first half of 22. They shouldn't be doing that well now anymore (with falling prices and increasing restrictions). Of course it depends if EU will resume buying Russian gas at a large scale when/if current storage runs out.
- orwin 4y agoRising oil price have an effect on the world productive system, that's why we have decades of evidence oil having very low elasticity of demand, but also of supply. Rising oil price might have benefited Russia's budget, but not its productive system.